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Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free Preview 08/31/18

Patrick Gorski-USA TODAY Sports

The Philadelphia Phillies are playing host to the Chicago Cubs at Citizens Bank Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET and this NL matchup will be shown on both NSC+ and NSPA.

Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Philadelphia (+105) as the underdog to Chicago (-115). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -120 for over 8.5 runs and +100 for under 8.5. Gamblers can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at +130 for the Cubs -1.5 runs and -150 for the Phillies +1.5.

The Phillies are 71-62 straight up (SU) and 66-67 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 6.8 units for moneyline bettors while earning 9.7 units (ATS). The Cubs have gone 79-54 SU this year and are 66-66 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 3.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline, but have lost 0.3 units ATS.

Phillies games have a 59-69-5 over/under record in 2018. Chicago has also been a good under bet with a total record of 58-71-3.

Southpaw Jose Quintana is projected to start for the visiting Cubbies. Quintana is 11-9 with a 4.33 ERA and 116 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 3.18 ERA against Philadelphia this year.

The Phillies will turn to righty Nick Pivetta (7-10, 4.76 ERA) to the mound. Pivetta has 162 strikeouts and 38 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.29 WHIP. Pivetta is 0-1 with six strikeouts and a 7.20 ERA in one start against Chicago this year.

As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitchers have given up 4.3 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.82, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.8. The bullpen has a 4.04 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.

The Philadelphia hitters have put up 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .283/.361/.509 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Phillies’ hitters have been led by Odubel Herrera, who is slashing .268/.322/.448 with 21 home runs, 65 RBIs and 57 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.02 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 7.63 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.23, along with a K-per-9 of 8.66.

The Cubs offense has slashed .263/.342/.421 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game this year, including 5.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Javier Baez has led Chicago’s hitters and is slashing .294/.327/.568 with 28 home runs, 97 RBIs, 81 runs and 21 stolen bases.

The Cubs just got a 5-4 victory over the Braves, while the Phillies are coming off of an 8-6 win against the Nationals.

Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has hit in four of Philadelphia’s last seven games.

The Cubs have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 15 over their last 10.

Philadelphia has recorded 22.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.4 over its last five.

The Cubs have won eight of their last nine games SU.

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Written by GMS Previews

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