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Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Betting Preview 07/11/18

The San Francisco Giants are set to host the Chicago Cubs at AT&T Park. NBC Sports Chicago will broadcast this NL matchup. The first pitch will be at 3:45 p.m. ET.

Chicago Cubs at San Francisco Giants Odds

Chicago (-120) is favored against San Francisco (+110) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (-115 for the under and -105 for the over). The game’s runline odds sit at +125 for taking the Cubs -1.5 runs and -145 for the Giants +1.5.

The Giants are 48-46 straight up (SU) and 51-42 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 9.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.0 units (ATS). San Francisco has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven. The Cubs are 52-37 SU and have gone 45-43 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 0.5 units for moneyline bettors, but have gained 3.4 units ATS. Chicago is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Giants games have a 44-47-2 over/under record so far in 2018. Chicago has been a decent under bet with a total record of 39-48-1.

Mike Montgomery is getting the nod for the visiting Cubs. The southpaw Montgomery is 3-3 with a 3.68 ERA and 47 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Giants this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Giants are sending righty Johnny Cueto (3-1, 1.95 ERA) to the mound. Cueto has 28 strikeouts and eight walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 0.92. Cueto only made one start against the Cubs in 2017 (0-1, 6.00 ERA and eight strikeouts across six innings).

As a unit, San Francisco’s pitchers have yielded 4.4 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 4.24 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.73 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.6 K/9.

The San Francisco hitters are putting up 4.1 runs per outing, including 3.4 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .250/.302/.335 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Brandon Crawford and right fielder Andrew McCutchen have paced the Giants’ offense this year. Crawford is slashing .296/.363/.471 with 10 home runs, 39 RBIs and 40 runs scored, while McCutchen is hitting .259 with nine homers, 39 RBIs and 48 runs.

For the visiting squad, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.82 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 7.70 K/9. The bullpen has logged a solid ERA of just 3.09, along with a WHIP of 1.34.

The Cubs offense has slashed .265/.347/.425 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game this season, including 6.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Second baseman Javier Baez and left fielder Albert Almora Jr. continue to lead Chicago’s offense. Baez is slashing .291/.326/.557 with 17 home runs, 65 RBIs, 56 runs and 17 steals, while Almora Jr. (.319/.357/.441) is up to four homers, 28 RBIs and 47 runs scored.

The Cubs have lost 5.8 units and are 33-35 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 30 of those games, as opposed to 37 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Giants have netted 1.8 units and are 18-17 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 19 of those games, as opposed to 16 that’ve gone under.

Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER

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Betting Notes

Chicago has recorded 14 extra-base hits over its last five contests. San Francisco has 10 XBH over its last five.

The Cubs have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Giants have hit four over their last 10.

The Chicago defense has allowed eight errors over the last 10 games, compared to three errors for San Francisco over its last 10.

The Cubs have won three of their last four games SU.


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