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Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins Game 1 Free Pick 09/28/18

Mike DiNovo-USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Twins will welcome the Chicago White Sox to Target Field in the 1 game of their divisional doubleheader. WGN is in line to broadcast the action. The first pitch will be at 2:10 p.m. ET.

Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Minnesota (-145) as the favorite over Chicago (+135). The total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for +100 or the under for -120. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at -160 for the White Sox +1.5 runs and +140 for the Twins -1.5 runs.

The White Sox are 62-96 SU and have gone 80-78 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 14.6 units for moneyline bettors and 3.5 units ATS. Chicago is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Twins, on the other hand, are 74-84 SU and 82-75 ATS. They’ve lost 11.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 3.5 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Minnesota games have an over/under record of 77-77-3 in 2018. The White Sox have an over/under record of 73-76-9.

Right-hander Reynaldo Lopez is the projected starter for Chicago. Lopez is 7-9 with a 3.94 ERA and 146 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with eight strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA against Minnesota this year (three starts).

The Twins are putting the ball in the hands of righty Jose Berrios (11-11, 3.93 ERA), who has 193 strikeouts and 57 walks to his name, as well as a 1.15 WHIP. Berrios is 3-0 with 27 strikeouts and a 2.33 ERA over four starts against Chicago this year.

As a unit, Minnesota’s pitching staff has yielded 4.8 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 4.60 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.49 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 72 games against AL Central foes, Twins starters have an ERA of 4.75 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.22.

The Minnesota offense is putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .295/.354/.439 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Twins’ batters have been led by left fielder Eddie Rosario and first baseman Joe Mauer. Rosario is slashing .288/.323/.479 with 24 home runs, 77 RBIs and 87 runs scored, and Mauer’s line is .277/.345/.374 with six homers, 47 RBIs and 59 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Chicago’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.92 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 6.84 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.57, along with a K/9 of 9.60.

The White Sox offense has slashed .242/.304/.404 on its way to 4.1 runs scored per game this season, including 4.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Third baseman Yolmer Sanchez and shortstop Tim Anderson have led Chicago’s hitters. Sanchez is hitting .245/.310/.376 with eight home runs, 53 RBIs, 60 runs and 14 stolen bases. Anderson is hitting .242/.283/.409 with 20 homers, 64 RBIs, 76 runs and 26 stolen bases.

The White Sox have lost 10.0 units and are 59-59 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 55 of those games, compared to 55 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Twins have lost 5.5 units and are 60-53 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 57 of those games, compared to 54 that went under the total.

Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – White Sox, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has hit in four of Minnesota’s last seven games.

Chicago has posted 20.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 14.6 over its last five.

The White Sox have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Twins have hit 12 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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