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Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs Matchup 05/12/18

Matt Marton-USA TODAY Sports

The Chicago White Sox will be taking on the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field. This interleague matchup gets underway at 2:20 p.m. ET and you can watch it on both WLS and NSCH.

Chicago White Sox at Chicago Cubs Odds

The White Sox have gone only 9-26 SU this year and are 17-17 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 14.9 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in the season’s early going and 3.6 units ATS. They’re 3-4 ATS over their last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Cubs, on the other hand, are 20-15 SU and 15-19 ATS. They’ve lost 3.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.0 units ATS. They have covered the spread just twice over their last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Cubs games have an over/under record of 15-19 thus far in 2018. White Sox games have gone over 17 times, gone under 15 times and pushed on two occasions.

Right-hander James Shields is the projected starter for the visiting White Sox. Shields is 1-3 with a 5.14 ERA and 24 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Cubs this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 6.75 ERA and four strikeouts across four innings).

The Cubs are going with lefty Jon Lester (2-1, 2.82 ERA), who has 31 strikeouts and 17 walks, as well as a 1.33 WHIP. Lester only made one start against the White Sox in 2017 (1-0, 2.57 ERA and four strikeouts across seven innings).

the Cubs’ pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Their starters have a 3.90 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.63, a WHIP of 1.21 and a K/9 of 8.7.

The Chicago hitters have put up 5.4 runs per contest, including 5.9 per game over its last 10 games and 9.0 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .325/.395/.604 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

Third baseman Kris Bryant and second baseman Javier Baez have led the Cubs’ hitters so far. Bryant is slashing .302/.434/.612 with seven home runs, 19 RBIs and 25 runs scored, while Baez’s line is .278/.317/.617 with 10 homers, 34 RBIs and 25 runs.

For the visitors, the White Sox’ pitching staff allowed 5.8 runs per game and their starting pitchers own a 5.76 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and 5.86 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.72, along with a K-per-9 of 9.23.

White Sox hitters have slashed .244/.313/.416 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game this year, including 3.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (0-5 SU).

Matt Davidson and Yoan Moncada have led Chicago’s hitters. Davidson is slashing .248/.376/.541 with nine home runs, 19 RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Moncada is hitting .263/.359/.509 with six homers, 15 RBIs and 17 runs scored.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .231/.338/.412, Moncada did not seem to enjoy batting against lefties on the road last season, putting up a slash line of just .237/.275/.316 across 40 such plate appearances.

The White Sox have lost 3.8 units and are 4-4 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in five of those games, as opposed to three that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Cubs have lost 2.8 units and are 10-13 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 10 of those games, compared to 13 that’ve gone under.

Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – White Sox, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The White Sox have lost 10 of their last 11 games SU.

The White Sox have recorded 19.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over their last 10 games and 20.8 over their last five.

The White Sox have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.

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