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Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Indians Betting Preview 09/19/18

David Richard-USA TODAY Sports

The Cleveland Indians are set to host their divisional rival Chicago White Sox at Progressive Field. The action will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to SportsTime Ohio.

Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Indians Odds

Cleveland (-290) is favored against Chicago (+245) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at White Sox +1.5 runs (+120) and Indians -1.5 runs (-140).

The Indians are 84-66 straight up (SU) and 70-79 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 22.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 19.5 units (ATS). Cleveland has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The White Sox, on the other hand, have gone 59-91 SU this year and are 77-72 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 14.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 0.8 units ATS. Chicago’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Indians games have a 72-69-8 over/under record in 2018. The White Sox have an over/under record of 70-72-7.

Dylan Covey will get the nod for Chicago. The right-handed Covey is 5-13 with a 5.64 ERA and 76 strikeouts. He’s 1-2 with 13 strikeouts and a 6.63 ERA against Cleveland this year (four starts).

The Indians are sending righty Carlos Carrasco (16-9, 3.43 ERA) to the mound. Carrasco has 206 strikeouts and 36 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.13. Carrasco is 2-0 with 20 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA across two starts against Chicago this year.

Cleveland’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.44 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.59 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 67 games against AL Central opponents, Indians starters have an ERA of 2.69 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.24.

Cleveland’s hitters have produced 5.0 runs per contest, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .245/.342/.423 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Shortstop Francisco Lindor and left fielder Michael Brantley have led the Indians’ offense this year. Lindor is slashing .283/.356/.525 with 35 home runs, 86 RBIs, 121 runs and 23 stolen bases, while Brantley is hitting .306 with 16 homers, 73 RBIs and 82 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.97 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 6.78 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.43, along with a WHIP of 1.39.

The White Sox offense has slashed .243/.305/.408 on its way to 4.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Chicago’s hitters have been paced by third baseman Yolmer Sanchez and first baseman Jose Abreu. Sanchez is slashing .246/.314/.380 with eight home runs, 52 RBIs, 56 runs and 14 steals, while Abreu is hitting .265/.325/.473 with 22 homers, 78 RBIs and 68 runs scored.

The White Sox have lost 8.9 units and are 57-54 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 54 of those games, as opposed to 51 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 13.3 units and are 53-57 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 54 of those games, compared to 51 that went under.

Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Indians MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – White Sox, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

Chicago has tallied 19 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Cleveland has 14 XBH over its last five.

Both teams have hit 14 home runs over their last 10 outings.

The Chicago defense has allowed nine errors over the last 10 games, compared to three errors for Cleveland over its last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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