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Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Indians Free MLB Pick

In the second of a four-game series between the Chicago White Sox (18-17) and the Cleveland Indians (18-17) at U.S. Cellular Field, Jose Quintana (2-3, 4.39 ERA) and Trevor Bauer (2-1, 3.67 ERA) get the ball. The White Sox won the last game 2-1, extending a six-game winning streak. The game starts at 8:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, May. 19 and will air on STO and CSN-CHI.

Quintana is 4-0 with a 2.94 ERA, 53 strikeouts and 21 walks against the Indians in his career. Jose Abreu (.293, 18 Rs, 6 HRs, 22 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. In his career against the White Sox, Bauer is 1-0 with a 3.10 ERA. He meets a solid Chicago offense that’s batting .256.

Chicago is favored by a small -112 margin in its matchup against Cleveland. Oddsmakers have set the Over/Under (O/U) at eight runs. The White Sox are in an interesting position this season. While they have a notable winning record in games where they’re the favorite (9-6), their overall money line (-53) is less impressive. They have a 10-14 record SU and are 6-5 as favorite within their division. The most recent 10-game stretch for the White Sox has gone great. Over that span, Chicago is averaging 5.0 runs per game, well over their season average of 3.9. The White Sox rank fifth in the AL in hits with 8.8 per game.

On the other side, the Indians have a subpar record of 5-8 when they are the underdog and are -1,252 overall with the money line. Against divisional opponents, they are 7-16 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 3-5 record. Cleveland has an eye for the strike zone on the road, ranking 3.3 in the AL with fifth walks per game. The Cleveland pitching staff has been an intimidating group on the road this year, averaging an AL-best 9.9 strikeouts per game.

The White Sox have gotten the best of the Indians in head-to-head matchups this season, going 4-2. This game will feature Bauer (RHP) on the mound against the White Sox, who have a 14-13 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The left-handed Quintana will take the mound against the Indians. Against lefty starters this season, they have an awful 4-9 record.

Predictions: SU Winner – CLE, O/U – Over

Notes

In their last game, the Indians lost by a margin of one run. The White Sox are 8-3 in one-run games. The Indians have a 0-4 record in close games.

The White Sox are 1-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Indians are 0-2 in such matchups.

Having scored one run in their last game, the Indians are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The White Sox have a 3-1 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.

When they are outhit, the Indians are 2-18. The White Sox have a 3-15 record when opponents outhit them.

Ranking 29th in home runs, Chicago has hit 23 this season. Cleveland ranks 18th with 33 home runs.

Ranking sixth, Cleveland is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.61 per game. Chicago ranks in the top five at fifth with 8.76.

Ranking 24th, Chicago is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.678). Cleveland ranks in the top half at 14th with an OPS of .718.

When the Indians allow at least one home run, they are 11-17. When the White Sox allow one or more homers, they have a 10-13 record.

Written by GMS Previews

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