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Cincinnati Reds at Washington Nationals Betting Preview 08/03/18

Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

The Washington Nationals will do battle against the Cincinnati Reds at Nationals Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising this NL matchup. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.

Cincinnati Reds at Washington Nationals Odds

Vegas has listed Washington (-175) as the favorite over Cincinnati (+165). The total sits at nine runs and bettors can take the over for -120 and the under for +100. The game’s most recent runline odds stand at -135 for taking the Reds +1.5 runs and +115 for the Nationals -1.5.

The Reds have gone 47-59 SU this year and are 63-45 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle very much this year, losing 3.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, despite having gained 7.0 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 53-52 SU and 51-56 ATS. The team’s lost 18.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.5 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Nationals games have an over/under record of 44-61-2 in 2018. Cincinnati has been a decent over bet with a total record of 57-47-4.

Anthony DeSclafani will get the nod for Cincinnati. The right-handed DeSclafani (4-3, 5.47 ERA) has recorded 48 strikeouts in 52.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Nationals this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Nationals will be sending lefty Gio Gonzalez (6-7, 3.78 ERA) to the mound. Gonzalez has 103 strikeouts and 57 walks to his name, as well as a 1.45 WHIP. Gonzalez is 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against Cincinnati this year.

As a unit, Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.94 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.67 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.

Washington’s offense has produced 4.4 runs per outing, including 5.4 per game over its last 10 games and 6.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .262/.362/.465 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.

Shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon have led the Nationals’ hitters this year. Turner is hitting .270/.342/.413 with 13 home runs, 43 RBIs, 66 runs and 28 steals, and Rendon is hitting .288 with 16 homers, 53 RBIs and 50 runs scored.

For the visitors, Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.26 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.48 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.15, along with a WHIP of 1.44.

The Reds offense has slashed .258/.341/.403 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Cincinnati’s offensive production has been fueled by second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza. Gennett is slashing .313/.364/.501 with 17 home runs, 67 RBIs and 64 runs scored, while Peraza (.284/.330/.382) has produced five homers, 35 RBIs, 55 runs and 17 steals.

The Reds have gained 1.0 units and are 17-11 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 17 of those games, as opposed to 10 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 4.7 units and are 40-38 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 31 of those games, as opposed to 46 that’ve cashed the under.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has hit in three of Cincinnati’s last seven games.

The Reds have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.

Cincinnati has posted 19.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.2 over its last five.

The Nationals have won four of their last five games SU.

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Written by GMS Previews

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