In the first of a three-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (21-26) and the Cincinnati Reds (15-32) at Miller Park, Zach Davies (1-3, 5.75 ERA) and John Lamb (0-2, 5.40 ERA) get the ball. The Reds enter this series on a 10-game losing streak. The game starts at 8:10 p.m. ET on Friday, May. 27 and will air on FSWI and FSOH.
In his last start, Davies pitched 5.1 innings, allowing four runs, striking out five and walking two in a 5-4 loss to the Mets. Ryan Braun (.361, 23 Rs, 9 HRs, 30 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI. The Reds were also unsuccessful the last time Lamb pitched. He tossed 6.0 innings, allowing four runs (one unearned), striking out three and walking three in a 4-0 loss to the Mariners. Jay Bruce (.263, 23 Rs, 8 HRs, 29 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 Wednesday with one RBI.
The odds are even for this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is currently unavailable. The Brewers have a SU record of 8-14 against teams in their division. The most recent 10-game stretch for the Brewers has gone great. Over that span, Milwaukee is averaging 0.0 runs per game, well over their season average of 0.0. The Brewers are a nightmare on the bases for opponents with 35 steals, one of the highest totals in baseball. Over their past 10 games, Milwaukee’s pitchers have been playing lights out, only allowing 0.0 runs per game, below their season average of 0.0. They have been extremely effective at striking opposing batters out, averaging 7.3 strikeouts per game.
Against teams in their division, the Reds are 6-9 SU. Cincinnati has been playing better lately, averaging 0.0 runs per game, more than their season average of 0.0. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has allowed an average of 0.0 runs per game during the last 10 games, lower than their season average of 0.0.
Predictions: SU Winner – MIL
Notes
Cincinnati has won 33% (7-14) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, Milwaukee has won 44% (7-9) of its games when taking a late lead.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Reds are going to have to step it up if they want to win this matchup. The Brewers have a 2-0 record in games where opponents scored one run or less.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 3-21. The Reds have a 4-25 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 16th in home runs, Cincinnati has hit 47 this season. Milwaukee ranks 15th with 50 home runs.
Ranking 30th, Cincinnati is at the bottom of the league in hits, notching 7.30 per game. Milwaukee ranks near the bottom at 22nd with 7.94.
Ranking 27th, Cincinnati is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.665). Milwaukee ranks in the bottom half at 17th with an OPS of .717.
When the Reds allow at least one home run, they are 11-26. When the Brewers allow one or more homers, they have a 16-22 record.
