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Cincinnati Reds vs. Detroit Tigers Free Pick 08/01/18

Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports

The Cincinnati Reds will pay a visit to Comerica Park to square off against the Detroit Tigers. This interleague showdown will begin at 1:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Ohio to catch the game.

Cincinnati Reds at Detroit Tigers Odds

Detroit (-115) is hosting this one as the favorite over Cincinnati (+105) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 9 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. Runline odds sit at -200 for betting the Reds +1.5 runs and +170 for the Tigers -1.5.

The Reds have gone 47-58 SU this year and are 62-44 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.2 units for moneyline bettors, despite having gained 7.0 units ATS. Cincinnati’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Tigers, on the other hand, are 45-61 SU and 55-52 ATS. The team’s lost 0.7 units for moneyline bettors and 5.0 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Tigers games have a 43-60-4 over/under record in 2018. Cincinnati has been a decent over bet with a total record of 56-46-4.

Right-hander Sal Romano is getting the start for the visiting Reds. Romano is 6-8 with a 5.04 ERA and 79 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Detroit this year.

The Tigers are handing the ball to righty Mike Fiers (7-6, 3.54 ERA), who’s got 86 punchouts and 26 walks to his name, as well as a 1.24 WHIP. Fiers hasn’t faced the Reds yet this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.

Detroit’s pitching staff has allowed 4.6 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 4.38 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.43 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 7.8 K/9.

The Detroit offense is putting up 3.9 runs per contest, including 3.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .232/.291/.369 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Tigers’ offense has been led by right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Castellanos is slashing .294/.347/.500 with 15 home runs, 57 RBIs and 57 runs scored, while the line for Iglesias stands at .266/.308/.387 with four homers, 41 RBIs, 33 runs and 13 stolen bases.

In the other dugout, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.24 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.50 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.13, along with a WHIP of 1.44.

Reds hitters have slashed .258/.341/.404 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza continue to lead Cincinnati’s offense. Gennett is slashing .317/.368/.503 with 16 home runs, 65 RBIs and 63 runs scored. Peraza (.293/.339/.395) is up to five homers, 35 RBIs, 55 runs and 17 stolen bases.

The Reds have lost 3.2 units and are 46-33 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 39 of those games, compared to 37 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Tigers have lost 9.8 units and are 36-42 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 29 of those games, compared to 46 that’ve gone under.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Detroit Tigers Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Tigers, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The under has cashed in just two of Detroit’s last seven games.

Cincinnati has recorded 18.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.4 over its last five.

Each team has hit 10 home runs over its last 10 games.

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Written by GMS Previews

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