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Cincinnati Reds vs. Kansas City Royals Free Preview 06/13/18

Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

The Cincinnati Reds will be taking on the Kansas City Royals at Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium. The first pitch is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Kansas City will broadcast this interleague matchup.

Cincinnati Reds at Kansas City Royals Odds

Kansas City (+100) is the home-team underdog against Cincinnati (-110) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Runline odds stand at +135 for taking the Reds -1.5 runs and -155 for the Royals +1.5.

NFC North, Coach Rankings, NFL

The Royals are only 22-45 SU and 32-34 ATS. The team’s lost 14.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.4 units against the spread (ATS). Kansas City has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Reds are 24-43 SU and have gone 34-32 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 15.0 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 8.8 units ATS. Cincinnati is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven.

Kansas City games have a 25-37-4 over/under record so far in 2018. Cincinnati has an over/under record of 32-32-2.

Tyler Mahle is getting the nod for Cincinnati. The right-handed Mahle is 4-6 with a 4.33 ERA and 67 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Royals this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Royals are planning to start righty Jason Hammel (2-6, 5.12 ERA), who has 52 strikeouts and 21 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.44 WHIP. Hammel did not record a start against the Reds in 2017.

As a unit, Kansas City’s pitchers have allowed 5.5 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.11, a WHIP of 1.44 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.5. The bullpen has a 5.55 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 7.1 K/9.

The Kansas City hitters are putting up 3.8 runs per contest, including 2.3 per game over its last 10 games and 1.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .159/.193/.287 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Royals’ offense has been led by second baseman Whit Merrifield and outfielder Jon Jay. Merrifield is slashing .290/.364/.417 with four home runs, 22 RBIs, 31 runs and 14 stolen bases, while Jay’s line is .307/.363/.374 with 73 hits, 18 RBIs and 28 runs scored.

For the visiting squad, Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starters own a 5.68 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and 7.45 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.97, along with a WHIP of 1.52 and a K-per-9 of 8.24.

The Reds offense has slashed .251/.332/.387 on its way to 4.2 runs scored per game this year, including 4.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Cincinnati’s offense has been powered by second baseman Scooter Gennett and first baseman Joey Votto, who have combined to belt 18 home runs. Gennett is slashing .339/.376/.551 with 12 home runs, 47 RBIs and 33 runs scored, while Votto is slashing .309/.433/.449 with six homers, 30 RBIs and 34 runs scored.

The Reds have lost 13.8 units and are 24-23 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 21 of those games, compared to 25 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Royals have lost 16.4 units and are 18-26 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 17 of those games, as opposed to 23 that’ve cashed the under.

Cincinnati Reds at Kansas City Royals Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Royals, ATS Winner – Royals, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The Royals have lost eight of their last nine games SU.

Kansas City has posted 13.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 12.0 over its last five.

The Reds have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Royals have hit eight over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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