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Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Chicago Bulls ATS Preview 11/10/18

David Banks-USA TODAY Sports

The Cleveland Cavaliers (1-10) will try to put an end to their five-game road losing streak in a matchup against the Chicago Bulls (3-9) at United Center. The game can be seen on WGN Channel 9 at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 10, 2018.

Chicago is a 5-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 213 points.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Chicago Bulls Betting Prediction

In the Cavaliers’ last game, they were beaten by the Oklahoma City Thunder, 95-86, and were unable to cover as 6.5-point underdogs. The total points for the game (181) were well under the projected point total of 216. Getting to the charity stripe was one of Oklahoma City’s largest advantages. They had 26 free throw attempts, while Cleveland had just 13. Cleveland’s Tristan Thompson had a good performance, putting up 10 points and 15 rebounds.

The Bulls lost to the New Orleans Pelicans in their last game, 107-98, but did cover as 11-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (205) were well under the O/U total of 227.5. New Orleans’ offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over Chicago. The Pelicans had a rate of 22.0 (below their season average of 24.9), while the Bulls posted a mark of 13.7 (below the 21.2 mark opponents have averaged against New Orleans this season). Chicago’s Jabari Parker had 20 points and 13 rebounds in the contest.

After the Cavaliers won all four meetings against the Bulls last season, these teams will battle for the first time this year. In the most recent contest, Cleveland won 114-109. Cleveland had a better free throw rate (0.149 vs. 0.121). Chicago, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (10.9 vs. 11.9).

Cleveland holds records of 1-10 straight up (SU) and 5-6 against the spread (ATS). Games featuring the Cavaliers have finished under the O/U total 54.5 percent of the time.

Chicago has a superb 8-4 record ATS, despite being 3-9 SU. Of the Bulls’ 12 games, 7 have finished under the projected point total.

Wendell Carter Jr. has averaged 15.8 points, 9.8 rebounds, 3.6 assists, 2.0 blocks and 1.4 steals over the last five games for Chicago.

Chicago may have trouble getting to the charity stripe in this contest. The Bulls rank 22nd in the NBA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.194, while Cleveland ranks sixth in FTA rate allowed (0.189). Furthermore, the Cavaliers, who rank third in offensive rebounding percentage (26.5 percent), will go head-to-head against the Bulls, who rank 27th in defensive rebounding percentage (73.4 percent).

Cleveland Cavaliers at Chicago Bulls Odds Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Cavaliers, ATS Winner – Cavaliers, O/U – Under

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Notes

Betting Notes:

Cleveland is 4-1 ATS on the road with 3 unders and 2 overs.

At home, Chicago is 5-1 ATS with 4 unders and 2 overs.

When allowing less than 100 points, Chicago is 1-1 and Cleveland is 0-1.

In games where they score above 100 points, the Bulls are 2-7 and the Cavaliers are 1-6.

Cleveland ranks eighth in second chance points per game (14.7) while Chicago ranks 29th (9.3).

The Cavaliers rank sixth in rebounds allowed per game (41.8) while the Bulls rank 26th (49.0).

Chicago ranks 20th in three pointers attempted per game (29.9) while Cleveland ranks last (23.5).

The Cavaliers rank 18th in points off turnovers per game (15.8) while the Bulls rank 27th (13.8).

Chicago ranks 19th in assists per game (22.8) while Cleveland ranks 27th (20.3).

The Bulls average 5.6 blocks per game, which ranks 13th in the NBA. The Cavaliers rank 19th in blocks allowed per game (6.0).

Chicago ranks 18th in points in the paint per game (45.8) while Cleveland ranks 21st in points allowed in the paint per game (52.0).

The Bulls rank 18th in fast break points per game (11.9) while the Cavaliers rank 20th in fast break points allowed per game (15.4).

Cleveland averages 7.6 steals per game, which ranks 13th in the league. Chicago ranks 14th in steals allowed per game (7.9).

Bettings Trends:

Over its last five contests, Cleveland is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.

Chicago is 5-0 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over its last five games.

The Cavaliers’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 8.0, down from 10.6 for the season.

During their last five games, the Bulls have scored an average of 102.8 points per game (4.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 106.6 points per game (7.7 below their season average).

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Written by GMS Previews

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