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Cleveland Indians at Baltimore Orioles Free Pick 04/23/18

Evan Habeeb-USA TODAY Sports

The Cleveland Indians will be taking on the Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards. SportsTime Ohio will broadcast this AL matchup and the opening pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.

Cleveland Indians vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds

Vegas is listing Baltimore (+195) as the underdog to Cleveland (-215). The total stands at eight runs and bettors can wager on the over for -120 or the under for +100. Runline odds stand at -145 for taking the Indians -1.5 runs and +125 for the Orioles +1.5 runs.

The Indians are 11-8 SU and have gone 7-11 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in this young season and 5.0 units ATS. Cleveland’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 6-16 SU and 7-14 ATS. They’ve lost 7.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.7 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Orioles games have an over/under record of 8-12-1 thus far in 2018. Cleveland has been a decent under bet with a total record of 5-13.

Carlos Carrasco is getting the start for the visiting Indians. The right-handed Carrasco is 3-0 with a 2.60 ERA and 21 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Orioles this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and 10 strikeouts over six innings).

The Orioles are handing the ball to righty Kevin Gausman (1-1, 5.57 ERA), who has 19 punchouts and six walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.57. Gausman only made one start against the Indians in 2017 (0-1, 4.76 ERA and nine strikeouts across 5.2 innings).

As a unit, Baltimore’s pitching staff has yielded 5.5 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 5.27, a WHIP of 1.62 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.5. The bullpen has a 4.54 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 8.1 K/9.

The Baltimore hitters have produced 3.3 runs per outing, including 3.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .216/.274/.438 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Orioles’ hitters have been led by shortstop Manny Machado and left fielder Trey Mancini. Machado is hitting .356/.434/.713 with eight home runs, 17 RBIs and 13 runs scored, and Mancini’s line is .284/.352/.420 with 23 hits, seven RBIs and 10 runs scored.

Machado seemed to enjoy hitting righties at home last season, slashing .286/.355/.534 across 265 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .260/.311/.473).

For the visiting squad, Cleveland’s pitchers have allowed 2.8 runs per game and its starters own a 2.66 ERA, 0.98 WHIP and 7.63 K/9. The bullpen has an outstanding ERA of just 2.63, along with a K/9 of 8.94.

The Indians offense has slashed .219/.290/.367 on its way to 3.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Third baseman Jose Ramirez and outfielder Michael Brantley have led Cleveland’s hitters. Ramirez is hitting .236/.353/.528 with seven home runs, 12 RBIs and 10 runs scored, while Brantley is hitting .348/.375/.500 with one homers, eight RBIs and two runs scored.

The Indians have lost 4.3 units and are 6-7 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 4.2 units and are 4-9 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in four of those games, compared to nine that went under the total.

Cleveland Indians at Baltimore Orioles Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Notes

The Orioles have lost eight of their last nine games SU.

Cleveland has recorded 23.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.0 over its last five.

The Indians have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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