Sunday, May 20, 2018
Bob DeChiara-USA TODAY Sports

Cleveland Indians at Baltimore Orioles Free Preview 04/20/18

The Cleveland Indians will make a road trip to Baltimore to face the Orioles at Camden Yards. SportsTime Ohio will televise this AL matchup and the game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Cleveland Indians vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds

Baltimore (+110) is the underdog against Cleveland (-120) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at eight runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. The game’s runline odds stand at +125 for betting the Indians -1.5 runs and -145 for the Orioles +1.5.

The Orioles are only 5-14 SU and 6-12 ATS. They’ve lost 6.3 units for moneyline bettors and 6.7 units against the spread (ATS). Baltimore has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Indians have gone 9-7 SU this year and are 6-10 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 1.6 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 5.0 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Orioles games have an over/under record of 7-10-1 so far in 2018. The Indians have been a decent under bet with a total record of 5-11.

The right-handed Trevor Bauer will get the nod for the visiting Indians. Bauer is 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 21 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Orioles this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 2.84 ERA and seven strikeouts across 6.1 innings).

The Orioles are sending righty Dylan Bundy (0-2, 1.40 ERA) to the mound. Bundy has 31 strikeouts and seven walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.09. Bundy only made one start against the Indians in 2017 (0-1, 12.46 ERA and two strikeouts across 4.1 innings).

Cleveland’s pitching staff allowed 3.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 2.74 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and 8.21 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 2.79, along with a WHIP of 1.02 and a K/9 of 8.94.

The Indians offense has slashed .208/.281/.346 on its way to 3.5 runs scored per game this season, including 3.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Cleveland’s hitters have been led by left fielder Michael Brantley and third baseman Jose Ramirez. Brantley is slashing .333/.371/.485 with 11 hits, six RBIs and two runs scored, while Ramirez is hitting .197 with 12 hits, four homers, eight RBIs and seven runs scored.

In the other dugout, Baltimore’s pitching staff has given up 5.7 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have a 5.42 ERA, 1.65 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.72 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 8.3 K/9.

The Baltimore offense is putting up 3.5 runs per contest, including 3.7 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .234/.301/.431 over its last five games and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.

Manny Machado and Pedro Alvarez have led the Orioles’ batters so far. Machado is hitting .338/.414/.623 with five home runs, 14 RBIs and 10 runs scored, and Alvarez’s line is .290/.436/.548 with nine hits, seven RBIs and six runs.

Compared to his total season slash line of .260/.311/.473, Machado seemed to enjoy hitting righty pitching at home last season, slashing .286/.355/.534 over 265 such plate appearances.

The Indians have lost 4.0 units and are 5-6 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 3.0 units and are 3-7 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in three of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under.

Cleveland Indians at Baltimore Orioles Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Notes

The Orioles have lost eight of their last nine games SU.

Baltimore has recorded 21.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.4 over its last five.

The Indians have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.

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Indians vs. Orioles
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