Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports

Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers Betting Preview 05/16/18

The Detroit Tigers will go for their fourth consecutive win as they play host to the Cleveland Indians at Comerica Park. The game gets underway 1:10 p.m. ET and SportsTime Ohio will broadcast the action.

Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers Odds

The Indians are 20-21 SU and have gone 16-24 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 10.6 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 10.7 units ATS. Cleveland is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Tigers, on the other hand, are 19-22 SU and 23-17 ATS. They’ve gained 1.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.6 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Detroit games have an over/under record of 18-21-1 so far in 2018. The Indians have an over/under record of 21-18-1.

The right-handed Trevor Bauer is projected to start for the visiting Indians. Bauer is 2-3 with a 3.00 ERA and 57 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 2.57 ERA against Detroit this year (two starts).

The Tigers are handing the ball to Ryan Carpenter (0-0, 7.36 ERA), who’s got four strikeouts and two walks, as well as a 1.91 WHIP. Carpenter hasn’t faced the Indians yet this year and did not accrue any MLB pitching stats last season.

As a unit, Detroit’s pitchers have yielded 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have a 4.21 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.49 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 8.1 K/9. In 19 games against divisional foes, Tigers starters have an ERA of 3.67 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.72.

The Detroit hitters have produced 4.6 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .292/.350/.482 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Tigers’ hitters have been led by right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and third baseman Jeimer Candelario. Castellanos is hitting .324/.383/.514 with four home runs, 24 RBIs and 21 runs scored, and Candelario is hitting .272 with five homers, 16 RBIs and 21 runs.

Candelario appeared to enjoy facing righty pitching at home last year, slashing .365/.468/.538 across 62 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .283/.359/.425).

For the visitors, Cleveland’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 3.52 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 8.22 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.73, along with a K-per-9 of 9.22.

The Indians offense has slashed .248/.320/.439 on its way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 7.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Third baseman Jose Ramirez and shortstop Francisco Lindor have led Cleveland’s hitters. Ramirez is slashing .297/.387/.627 with 13 home runs, 29 RBIs, 28 runs and six stolen bases, while Lindor is slashing .316/.394/.608 with 12 homers, 26 RBIs, 35 runs and five stolen bases.

The Tigers have lost 1.1 units and are 17-14 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 11 of those games, compared to 19 that’ve hit the under against righties.

Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Tigers, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The Indians have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games, including 11 over their last five.

The Cleveland defense has allowed 12 errors over the last 10 games, compared to seven errors for Detroit over its last 10.

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Summary
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Tigers vs. Indians
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