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Cleveland Indians at Toronto Blue Jays Free Pick 09/09/18

Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

The Cleveland Indians are set to play the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. SportsTime Ohio is in line to televise this AL matchup and the game gets underway at 1:07 p.m. ET.

Cleveland Indians vs. Toronto Blue Jays Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Cleveland (-165) as the favorite over Toronto (+155). Bettors can gamble on the game’s total with odds posted at even money (+100) for over 9 runs and -120 for under 9. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at Indians -1.5 runs (-115) and Blue Jays +1.5 runs (-105).

The Indians are 81-61 SU and have gone 68-73 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 18.1 units for moneyline bettors and 14.3 units ATS. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 64-78 SU and 59-82 ATS. They’ve lost 10.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 34.1 units ATS.

Blue Jays games have a 73-60-8 over/under record in 2018. The Indians have an over/under record of 68-66-7.

The right-handed Mike Clevinger will get the start for Cleveland. Clevinger (11-7, 3.11 ERA) has recorded 182 punchouts in 176.1 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA against Toronto this year.

The Blue Jays will put the ball in the hands of Thomas Pannone (1-1, 4.58 ERA), who has 13 strikeouts and four walks as well as a 1.13 WHIP. Pannone has yet to face the Indians this year and did not record any MLB pitching stats in 2017.

Cleveland’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.41 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 9.61 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.69, along with a K-per-9 of 9.12.

The Indians offense has slashed .258/.332/.435 on its way to 5.1 runs scored per game this season, including 4.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Shortstop Francisco Lindor and outfielder Michael Brantley have paced Cleveland’s offense. Lindor is hitting .284/.358/.527 with 33 home runs, 84 RBIs, 117 runs and 23 steals, while Brantley (.304/.359/.468) has produced 15 homers, 72 RBIs and 78 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Toronto’s pitching staff has allowed 5.2 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.29, a WHIP of 1.46 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.6. The bullpen has a 4.34 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.

Toronto’s offense is putting up 4.5 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .303/.351/.511 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Right fielder Kevin Pillar and first baseman Justin Smoak have paced the Blue Jays’ offense this year. Pillar is slashing .249/.277/.416 with 12 home runs, 52 RBIs, 56 runs and 14 stolen bases, while Smoak’s line is .246/.354/.464 with 23 homers, 71 RBIs and 62 runs.

The Blue Jays have gained 7.3 units and are 41-54 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 50 of those games, as opposed to 41 that’ve hit the under against righties.

Cleveland Indians at Toronto Blue Jays Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has cashed in four of Toronto’s last seven games.

The Indians have won four of their last five games SU.

Cleveland has posted 21.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 28.0 over its last five.

Both teams have hit 12 home runs over their last 10 games.

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Written by GMS Previews

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