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Cleveland Indians vs. Cincinnati Reds Free Pick 08/13/18

Tim Fuller-USA TODAY Sports

The Cleveland Indians will head across the state to face the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. This interleague matchup will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to SportsTime Ohio to catch the game.

Cleveland Indians at Cincinnati Reds Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Cincinnati (+150) as the underdog to Cleveland (-160). The total sits at nine runs and bettors can wager on either the over or the under for -110. Runline odds stand at -110 for picking the Indians -1.5 runs and -110 for the Reds +1.5.

The Reds are 68-49 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 49-65 straight up (SU). The team hasn’t strayed too far from expectations, losing 2.6 units for moneyline bettors while earning 7.2 units (ATS). Cincinnati has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Indians have gone 64-50 SU this year and are 56-60 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 14.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 10.3 units ATS. Cleveland is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.

Reds games have an over/under record of 61-52-4 in 2018. The Indians have an over/under record of 58-54-4.

As a unit, Cincinnati’s pitching staff has given up 5.1 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 5.27, a WHIP of 1.45 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.5. The bullpen has a 4.13 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 7.9 K/9.

The Cincinnati hitters are putting up 4.6 runs per contest, including 3.2 per game over its last 10 games and 2.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .222/.261/.311 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Reds’ batters have been led by second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza. Gennett is hitting .314/.364/.494 with 17 home runs, 68 RBIs and 67 runs scored, while Peraza’s line is .278/.321/.379 with six homers, 39 RBIs, 58 runs and 18 stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, Cleveland’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.41 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 9.37 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.89, along with a K-per-9 of 8.62.

Indians hitters have slashed .258/.332/.443 on their way to 5.1 runs scored per game this year, including 4.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Cleveland’s offensive production has been powered by shortstop Francisco Lindor and third baseman Jose Ramirez, who have combined to swat 62 home runs. Lindor is slashing .298/.376/.572 with 29 home runs, 74 RBIs, 99 runs and 17 stolen bases, while Ramirez (.296/.410/.619) has produced 33 homers, 83 RBIs, 78 runs and 27 steals.

Cleveland Indians at Cincinnati Reds MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has hit in three of Cincinnati’s last seven games.

The Indians have won five of their last six games SU.

Cincinnati has recorded 19.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.4 over its last five.

The Indians have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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