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Cleveland Indians vs. Houston Astros Free Pick 05/20/18

Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

The Houston Astros will play host to the Cleveland Indians at Minute Maid Park. This AL matchup is going to be televised nationally on ESPN and the opening pitch is scheduled for 8:08 p.m. ET.

Cleveland Indians at Houston Astros Odds

Houston (-130) is the favorite against Cleveland (+120) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this game at 7.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at -175 for taking the Indians +1.5 runs and +155 for the Astros -1.5.

The Astros are 29-18 SU and 25-21 ATS. They’ve lost 1.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 1.6 units against the spread (ATS). The Indians are 22-22 SU and have gone 17-26 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 11.9 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 12.1 units ATS.

Astros games have had an over/under record of 14-29-3 so far in 2018. Cleveland has an over/under record of 22-20-1.

The right-handed Carlos Carrasco is projected to start for Cleveland. Carrasco is 5-2 with a 3.66 ERA and 57 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Astros this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Astros are handing the ball to righty Lance McCullers Jr. (5-2, 3.63 ERA), who has 58 strikeouts and 21 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.23. McCullers Jr. only made one start against the Indians in 2017 (0-1, 9.00 ERA and five strikeouts across five innings).

As a unit, Houston’s pitching staff has allowed 2.6 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 2.30, a WHIP of 0.95 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.6. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.87, a WHIP of 1.06 and a K/9 of 9.9.

Houston’s hitters have produced 4.6 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .230/.275/.379 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Carlos Correa has helped lead the Astros’ offense this season with eight home runs, 31 RBIs and 28 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Cleveland’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.41 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 8.43 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.73, along with a WHIP of 1.09.

The Indians offense has slashed .248/.319/.437 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Cleveland’s offense has been paced by Jose Ramirez. Ramirez is slashing .302/.392/.615 with 13 home runs, 31 RBIs, 29 runs and six stolen bases.

The Indians are looking for another victory following a 5-4 win in the prior game of this series.

Cleveland Indians vs. Houston Astros MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has hit in six of Houston’s last seven games.

The Indians have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games. The Astros have hit 13 over their last 10.

Cleveland has averaged 24.5 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 contests and 22.6 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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