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Cleveland Indians vs. Toronto Blue Jays Free Pick 09/08/18

David Richard-USA TODAY Sports

The Cleveland Indians will play the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. SportsTime Ohio will be televising this AL matchup and the game gets underway at 4:07 p.m. ET.

Cleveland Indians vs. Toronto Blue Jays Odds

Vegas has listed Toronto (+120) as the underdog to Cleveland (-130). The total sits at 9.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -125 and the under for +105. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at +115 for the Indians -1.5 runs and -135 for the Blue Jays +1.5.

The Blue Jays are 64-77 straight up (SU) and 58-82 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 12.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 35.5 units (ATS). The Indians are 80-61 SU and have gone 68-72 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 15.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 12.7 units ATS.

Blue Jays games have an over/under record of 73-59-8 in 2018. Cleveland has an over/under record of 68-65-7.

Adam Plutko will get the nod for Cleveland. The right-handed Plutko (4-5, 5.04 ERA) has recorded 52 strikeouts in 64.1 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 3.68 ERA against Toronto this year.

The Blue Jays will put the ball in the right hand of Sean Reid-Foley (1-2, 5.51 ERA), who has 19 punchouts and seven walks as well as a 1.47 WHIP. Reid-Foley hasn’t faced the Indians yet this year and did not record any MLB pitching stats last season.

Cleveland’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.38 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 9.62 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.67, along with a WHIP of 1.14.

Indians hitters have slashed .258/.331/.435 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game this year, including 4.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Shortstop Francisco Lindor and left fielder Michael Brantley continue to lead Cleveland’s offense. Lindor is hitting .285/.360/.530 with 33 home runs, 84 RBIs, 117 runs and 23 steals. Brantley has a .303 average with 14 homers, 70 RBIs and 77 runs scored.

For the home team, Toronto’s pitchers have given up 5.2 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 5.25, a WHIP of 1.45 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.6. The bullpen has a 4.35 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.

The Toronto offense has produced 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .251/.316/.380 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Justin Smoak and right fielder Kevin Pillar have led the Blue Jays’ batters this year. Smoak is hitting .247/.355/.465 with 23 home runs, 71 RBIs and 62 runs scored, while Pillar’s line is .248/.276/.412 with 12 homers, 52 RBIs, 55 runs and 14 steals.

The Indians have lost 12.6 units and are 51-54 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 51 of those games, as opposed to 49 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have netted 5.3 units and are 40-54 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 50 of those games, compared to 40 which went under the total.

Cleveland Indians vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has cashed in four of Toronto’s last seven games.

Cleveland has recorded 20.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 23.6 over its last five.

The Indians have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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