In their final home game of the season, the Wright State Raiders (20-8, 12-3 Hor) host the Cleveland State Vikings (8-21, 5-11 Hor) at Ervin J. Nutter Center. The game is scheduled to start at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday, February 19, 2018.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 136 points with Wright State opening as a 14-point favorite.
Cleveland State Vikings vs. Wright State Raiders ATS Prediction
The Vikings are hoping for a better outcome after their 82-66 loss to the Oakland Golden Grizzlies in their last contest. Oakland’s rebounding was their largest strength. The Golden Grizzlies had more offensive rebounds (13 vs. five), defensive rebounds (28 vs. 14) and total rebounds (41 vs. 19). Anthony Wright was Cleveland State’s leading scorer with 18 points on 7-for-11 shooting.
In the Raiders’ last game, they barely escaped the Northern Kentucky Norse, 69-67. The Raiders had a turnover percentage of 11.4 (better than their season average of 17.2), while the Norse had a free throw rate of 0.172 (below their season average of 0.221). Loudon Love was Wright State’s high scorer with 15 points on 7-for-12 shooting.
When looking at effective field goal percentage, Wright State figures to have a substantial advantage. The Raiders defense ranks 72nd in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.484), while the Cleveland State offense is ranked 202nd in effective field goal percentage (0.507). Also, the Vikings, who rank 320th in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.194), will clash against the Raiders, who rank 52nd in opponents’ FTA rate (0.197).
Cleveland State holds records of 8-21 straight up (SU) and 12-12-2 against the spread (ATS). Vikings games have no tendency in regards to the O/U total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.
Meanwhile, Wright State is 20-8 SU and 14-12 ATS. Vegas is known to set the total high when the Raiders are involved, as 17 of their 26 games have ended under the total.
Love has averaged 16.2 points and 14.0 rebounds over the last five games for Wright State.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. Love scored a game-high 20 points in the first matchup, in which the Raiders lost 77-74, unable to cover as 9-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 151 points, which was 18 points above the projected point total of 133 points. Cleveland State’s effective field goal percentage was its biggest advantage over Wright State. The Vikings had a rate of 0.627 while the Raiders posted a mark of 0.492.
Cleveland State Vikings at Wright State Raiders Pick
College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Wright State, ATS Winner – Wright State, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Cleveland State is 9-6 ATS with 8 unders and 7 overs.
At home, Wright State is 6-7 ATS with 12 unders and 1 over.
Cleveland State ranks 49th in three pointers attempted per game (25.3) while Wright State ranks 219th (19.9).
The Raiders rank 63rd in assists allowed per game (12.0) while the Vikings rank 226th (15.3).
Wright State ranks 124th in rebounds per game (36.0) while Cleveland State ranks 285th (29.7).
The Vikings rank 40th in steals allowed per game (5.2) while the Raiders rank 95th (6.1).
Wright State ranks 42nd in blocks allowed per game (2.7) while Cleveland State ranks 96th (3.3).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Cleveland State is 2-2-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Wright State is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Vikings’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.4, down from 6.9 for the season.
During their last five games, the Raiders have scored an average of 73.4 points per game (1.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 67.8 points per game (2.0 above their season average).
