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College Football Free Betting Pick – Memphis Tigers vs. Missouri Tigers

Justin Ford-USA TODAY Sports

Two schools that like running the football, Tigers of Missouri (-10) are ready to welcome the Memphis Tigers to Memorial Stadium at Faurot Field. This key afternoon game is scheduled to kick off at 4:00 p.m. ET and SEC Network will showcase the action.

Memphis Tigers at Missouri Tigers Betting Preview

In this Saturday game, Missouri is tabbed as the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 10 points. Memphis is receiving +290 moneyline odds while Missouri is -370. If one side can catch a lucky break early it’ll result in a decent in-game betting scenario. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at a sky-high 74 points.

Early action has leaned toward Missouri, as the line opened at -7. The over/under hasn’t changed after being initially set at 74.

Memphis has lost 11.2 units so far in 2018 and is 4-3 against the spread (ATS). It’s been a dependable under bet and has posted an O/U record of 2-4. Missouri has gone 2-3-1 ATS and the over has hit in four of its games. It has lost 0.1 units this season.

Memphis is 4-3 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Tigers are 3-3 SU.

Memphis came up short to UCF 31-30 in a nailbiter where Brady White completed 17-of-29 passes for 209 yards. Darrell Henderson (199 yards on 31 rush attempts, one TD) and Patrick Taylor Jr. (47 yards on 11 carries) propelled the running attack while Tony Pollard (six receptions, 45 yards) and Damonte Coxie (four catches, 86 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

One week ago, Alabama got the victory against this Missouri crew by a score of 39-10. Drew Lock completed 13-of-26 passes for 142 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Larry Rountree III (48 rushing yards on 17 attempts) spearheaded the running game while Albert Okwuegbunam (four receptions, 47 yards) and Jalen Knox (three catches, 61 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.

Memphis has run the ball on 57.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Missouri has an overall rush percentage of 52.3 percent. The Tigers has produced 275 rush yards/game and has 24 scores on the ground this year. Missouri is logging 188 rush yards per game and has 11 total rushing TDs.

The Memphis offensive scheme has averaged 264 yards in the air overall and has 16 passing scores so far. Missouri has produced 289 pass yards per outing and has 12 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Memphis seems to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 171 yards and pass for 193 yards per game. The Missouri D has allowed 300.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 120.2 yards per game to opposing runners. Memphis is allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.46 to opposing QBs, while Missouri has given up a whopping 9.25 ANY/A.

Offensively, White is up to 1,519 passing yards on the year, and has connected on 65 percent of his 167 attempts with 14 scores through the air and only one interception. He has a sparkling 9.45 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 9.31 over the last two outings.

In the other locker room, Drew Lock has completed 114-of-187 passes for 1,425 yards, 12 TDs and four INTs. Lock’s ANY/A sits at 7.33 for the season and 2.24 over his last two games.

RELATED: Week 8 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions 

NCAA Prediction: Memphis Tigers vs. Missouri Tigers

SU Winner – Missouri, ATS Winner – Missouri, O/U – Over

Click Here to Start Betting Today!

Notes

Betting Trends

The Memphis defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 17 times this season. Missouri has registered just seven sacks.

Missouri has lost four fumbles this season while Memphis has let six get away.

The Memphis offense has produced seven pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Missouri has accounted for six such plays.

The Memphis defense has allowed four pass plays of 40+ yards, while Missouri has given up 11 such plays.

The Memphis offense has created 27 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Missouri has created six such runs.

The Memphis defense has allowed 13 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Missouri has given up four such runs.

As a team, Memphis has averaged 6.1 yards per carry over its past three games and 7.2 over its last two.

Missouri has averaged 4.5 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.4 over its past two.

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Written by GMS Previews

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