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College Football Free Betting Pick: Missouri Tigers at South Carolina Gamecocks

Mark Zerof-USA TODAY Sports

The Gamecocks (-2) are preparing to host their SEC rival Missouri Tigers in South Carolina. This vital afternoon game is scheduled to commence at 12:00 p.m. ET and SEC Network has the TV rights.

Missouri Tigers vs. South Carolina Gamecocks Betting Preview

Missouri is a live dog in this one and is currently getting 2 points. The Tigers are also receiving +110 moneyline odds while the Gamecocks are -130. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 64.5 points, and should one side can find paydirt in the early stages, it will likely produce a worthy betting scenario in-game.

The Tigers are 2-1-1 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 1.0 unit so far. The team’s posted an O/U record of 3-0. The Gamecocks have lost 1.1 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 2-2 ATS and have an even O/U record of 2-2.

The Tigers have gone 3-1 straight up (SU), including 0-1 SU against conference opponents. The Gamecocks are 2-2 SU overall and 1-2 SU in conference play.

The Tigers look to bounce back after a 43-29 loss to Georgia on September 22. The passing attack the primary culprit Drew Lock completed just 23-of-48 passes for 221 yards and one interception. Damarea Crockett (67 rushing yards on 13 attempts, one TD) and Tyler Badie (50 yards on 11 carries, one TD) led the ground attack in the loss while Albert Okwuegbunam (nine receptions, 81 yards) and Johnathon Johnson (four catches, 51 yards) shared the receiving duties.

One week ago, Kentucky took care of this South Carolina team by a score of 24-10. The Gamecocks defense allowed the Wildcats to rush for 195 yards on 46 attempts, including three rush TDs. Benny Snell had a solid outing for Kentucky, recording 99 rushing yards and a score on 28 attempts. As a group, the Gamecocks collectively completed 17-of-34 passes for 193 yards, one touchdown and three interceptions. Jake Bentley went 13-for-28 for 148 yards, one touchdown and three interceptions while Michael Scarnecchia was four-of-six for 45 yards. Rico Dowdle (44 yards on 13 rush attempts) spearheaded the ground attack in the defeat as Shi Smith (four receptions, 40 yards) and Bryan Edwards (three catches, 25 yards) led the pass-catching attack.

In terms of offensive play-calling, each team has a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Missouri has run the ball on 50.4 percent of its offensive possessions while South Carolina has an overall rush percentage of 49.3. The Tigers have run for 193 yards per game and have eight touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Gamecocks are averaging 180 rushing yards per game (152 in conference) and have five total rush TDs.

The Tigers offensive scheme has averaged a superb 347 yards through the air overall and has 11 passing TDs so far. The Gamecocks have recorded 258 pass yards per game (245.3 in the SEC) and have nine total pass scores.

Defensively, Missouri has let opponents rush for an average of 102 yards and throw for 294 yards per game. The South Carolina defense has allowed 159.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 171.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Gamecocks are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.92 to opponents, while the Tigers have given up an 8.49 ANY/A.

Offensively, Lock is up to 908 passing yards this season. The signal-caller has completed 64 percent of his 118 attempts with eight passing scores and only one interception. He’s got an 8.41 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 5.70 over the last two outings.

Jake Bentley has completed 65-of-104 passes for 667 yards, six TDs and five INTs for South Carolina. His ANY/A sits at 5.04 for the season and 4.44 over his last two games.

When these two teams faced one another last year, South Carolina got the victory 31-13.

RELATED: Week 6 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions

NCAA Pick: Missouri Tigers vs. South Carolina Gamecocks

SU Winner – South Carolina, ATS Winner – South Carolina, O/U – Over

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Notes

Betting Trends

Both teams have lost three fumbles this year.

The South Carolina D has sacked opposing QBs seven times this season. Missouri has recorded five sacks.

As a team, Missouri has rushed for 4.71317829457364 yards per attempt over its last three games and 4.9 over its last two.

South Carolina has averaged 4.4 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.8 over its last two.

In its last three contests, South Carolina is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

Missouri was getting 14 points in its last game and the O/U was 68. The over cashed and the spread pushed in the 43-29 loss to Georgia.

Over its last three matchups, Missouri is 1-1-1 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.

South Carolina was favored by one point in its previous match and the Over/Under going into it was 52.5. The under cashed and South Carolina failed to cover in the 24-10 loss to Kentucky.

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Written by GMS Previews

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