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College Football Free Betting Pick: Wisconsin Badgers vs. Purdue Boilermakers

Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

The Wisconsin Badgers and Purdue Boilermakers are set to go at it on the grass at Ross-Ade Stadium. BTN will broadcast the action and this key afternoon matchup is scheduled to kick off at 3:30 p.m. ET.

Wisconsin Badgers at Purdue Boilermakers Betting Preview

This Saturday Big 10 pairing shows the Badgers as the underdogs and they’re currently getting 6 points. The Badgers are also receiving +185 moneyline odds while the Boilermakers are -230. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 51 points. Multiple good in-game betting opportunities might exist during this match.

This game’s line opened at -6. The O/U hasn’t changed after it was initially established at 51.

The Badgers are 2-8 against the spread (ATS) and are down 2.0 units so far. The team has posted an O/U record of 5-5. The disappointing Boilermakers have lost 7.8 units this season. The team is 5-4-1 ATS and also has an even O/U record of 5-5.

The Badgers are 6-4 straight up (SU), including 4-3 SU against conference opponents. The Boilermakers are 5-5 SU overall and 4-3 SU in conference play.

The Badgers are trying to get back on track after a 22-10 defeat to Penn State last week. The passing game wasn’t where it needed to be as Jack Coan completed just nine-of-20 passes for 60 yards and two interceptions. Jonathan Taylor (185 rushing yards on 20 attempts, one TD) led the ground attack in the loss. Danny Davis III (two receptions, 24 yards) and Jake Ferguson (two catches, 18 yards) shared the receiving duties.

One game ago, Minnesota knocked off this Purdue team by a score of 41-10. The Boilermakers defense allowed the Golden Gophers to rush for 265 yards on 41 attempts, including two rush TDs. Mohamed Ibrahim put up a solid outing for Minnesota, posting 155 rushing yards on 18 attempts. For Purdue, David Blough completed 20-of-31 passes for 142 yards and one touchdown. D.J. Knox (34 yards on 10 rush attempts) spearheaded the ground attack in the defeat as Rondale Moore (eight receptions, 76 yards, one TD) and Brycen Hopkins (three catches, 25 yards) led the pass-catching corps.

Wisconsin has run the ball on 64.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Purdue has an overall rush percentage of 44.3 percent. The Badgers have produced 267 rush yards/game (including 259 per game against Big Ten opponents) and have 24 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Boilermakers are totaling 149 rush yards per game (147 in conference) and have 16 total rushing TDs.

The Badgers offensive scheme has averaged 163 yards through the air overall (147 per game against conference opposition) and has 14 passing TDs so far. The Boilermakers have put up 312 pass yards per game (302.1 against Big 10 foes) and have 21 total pass scores.

Wisconsin should have an edge when it comes to limiting the pass. The team’s let opponents run for an average of 162 yards and pass for 190 yards per game. The Purdue defense has allowed 281.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 144.8 yards per game to opposing runners. The Badgers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.22 to opposing QBs, while the Boilermakers have given up a 6.17 ANY/A.

Offensively, Coan has put up 218 passing yards this year. He’s completed 57 percent of his 51 attempts with one passing scores and two interceptions. He has a 1.72 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 0.28 over the last two games.

On the other sideline, David Blough has connected on 202-of-310 passes for 2,492 yards, 14 TDs and five INTs. Blough’s ANY/A stands at 7.51 for the season and 7.00 across his past two games.

When these two teams faced one another last year, Wisconsin got the victory over Purdue, 17-9.

RELATED: Week 12 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions 

Free NCAA Betting Tip: Wisconsin Badgers at Purdue Boilermakers

SU Winner – Purdue, ATS Winner – Purdue, O/U – Over

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Notes

Team Betting Trends

The Badgers offense has tallied two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Boilermakers have put up 15 such plays.

The Wisconsin defense has allowed six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Purdue has given up seven such plays.

The Wisconsin offense has created 25 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Purdue has created 15 such runs.

The Badgers defense has allowed 14 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Boilermakers have given up 10 such runs.

The Purdue D has registered 22 sacks on the year while Wisconsin has just 15.

Wisconsin has averaged 6.0 yards per carry across its last three outings and 6.3 over its last two.

Purdue has averaged 3.4 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.1 over its past two.

In its last three matchups, Purdue is 0-2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Wisconsin’s last game was set at 53.5. The under cashed in the team’s 22-10 defeat to Penn State.

In its last three contests, Wisconsin is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.

The O/U for Purdue’s previous outing was set at 58.5. The under cashed in that 41-10 defeat to Minnesota.

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Written by GMS Previews

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