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Colorado Buffaloes vs. Washington Huskies – 10/20/2018 Free Betting Pick

Troy Wayrynen-USA TODAY Sports

Two teams that prefer to run the football, No. 15 Huskies (-15) are prepared to welcome the Colorado Buffaloes to Washington. FOX owns the TV rights and the game is scheduled to kick off at 3:30 p.m. ET. When the two teams met a year ago, Washington knocked Colorado off easily 37-10.

Colorado Buffaloes at Washington Huskies Betting Preview

In this Saturday Pac-12 game, Washington has been projected as the heavy favorite and the team’s currently giving up 15 points. The Buffaloes are also receiving +550 moneyline odds while the Huskies are -840. Should one school can find paydirt in the early stages it’ll generate a reasonable in-game betting opportunity. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 51.5 points.

Sharp bettors have been siding with the Buffaloes. This line originally opened at -17 while the game’s total was initially 51.

The surprising Buffaloes have gained 3.4 units so far and are 4-2 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an Over-Under record of 0-5. The Huskies have gained 0.3 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 2-5 ATS and own an O/U record of 1-6.

The Buffaloes have gone 5-1 straight up (SU), including 2-1 SU against Pac-12 opponents. The Huskies are 5-2 SU overall and 3-1 SU in conference play.

The Buffaloes will attempt to get back on track after a 31-20 loss to USC last week where Steven Montez completed just 26-of-47 passes for 170 yards and one interception. Travon McMillian (32 rushing yards on 18 attempts) spearheaded the ground attack. Laviska Shenault Jr. (nine receptions, 72 yards) and K.D. Nixon (six catches, 36 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

One week ago, Oregon knocked off this Washington crew by a score of 30-27. The Huskies defense allowed the Ducks to kill the clock by running for 177 yards on 49 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. Dillon Mitchell put up a solid showing for Oregon, accounting for 119 yards on eight catches. For Washington, Jake Browning completed 15-of-25 passes for 243 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Myles Gaskin (69 yards on 15 rush attempts) and Salvon Ahmed (61 yards on 11 carries, two TDs) mounted the running game as Drew Sample (four receptions, 79 yards) and Sean McGrew (two catches, 34 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.

Colorado has run the ball on 55.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Washington has a rush percentage of 58.7 percent. The Buffaloes have produced 181 rush yards per game (including 157 per game versus Pac-12 opponents) and have 16 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Huskies are putting up 174 rushing yards per game (184 in conference) and have 14 total rush TDs.

The Buffaloes offense has averaged 273 yards through the air overall (255 per game against conference opposition) and has 11 passing scores so far. The Huskies have produced 268 pass yards per contest (216.3 in the Pac-12) and also have 11 total pass TDs.

On the defensive side of the ball, Colorado has allowed 139 rush yards and 213 pass yards per game. The Washington D has allowed 178.6 yards per game to opposing passers and 136.6 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Buffaloes have given up an ANY/A of 5.32 to opposing QBs, while the Huskies are yielding an ANY/A of 5.07.

Passing-wise, Montez has amassed 1,262 yards on the year. The signal-caller has completed 117-of-167 attempts with nine scores through the air and three interceptions. Montez has a 6.72 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 5.46 over the last two outings.

In the home locker room, Jake Browning has connected on 108-of-165 passes for 1,486 yards, nine TDs and five INTs. Browning’s ANY/A sits at 7.94 for the year and 8.11 across his past two outings.

RELATED: Week 8 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions 

NCAA Pick: Colorado Buffaloes vs. Washington Huskies

SU Winner – Washington, ATS Winner – Washington, O/U – Over

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Notes

Betting Trends

The Colorado defense has 16 sacks on the year while Washington has just nine.

Washington has lost two fumbles this season while the Colorado offense has let one get away.

The Buffaloes offense has produced eight pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Huskies have accounted for six such plays.

The Colorado defense has allowed five pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Washington has given up zero such plays.

The Colorado offense has created nine rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Washington has created 11 such runs.

The Buffaloes defense has allowed seven rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Huskies have given up three such runs.

The Over/Under for Washington’s previous outing was set at 58.5. The under cashed in that 30-27 defeat to Oregon.

Over its last three matchups, Washington is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

Over its last three matches, Colorado is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.

The O/U for Colorado’s previous game was set at 57.5. The under cashed in the team’s 31-20 defeat to USC.

Colorado has averaged 3.6 yards per carry across its last three outings and 3.2 over its last two.

Washington has averaged 4.2 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 3.9 over its last two.

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Written by GMS Previews

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