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Colorado Rockies at Miami Marlins Betting Preview 04/27/18

Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

The Colorado Rockies will pay a visit to Miami to play the Marlins at Marlins Park. This NL matchup begins at 7:10 p.m. ET and you can watch the game on both ATRM and FSFL.

Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Miami (+125) as the underdog to Colorado (-135). The total stands at 8.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -115 or the under for -105. The game’s current runline odds stand at +110 for taking the Rockies -1.5 runs and -130 for the Marlins +1.5.

The Marlins are only 7-17 SU and 10-14 ATS. The team has lost 2.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.7 units against the spread (ATS). Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Rockies are 14-12 SU and have gone 14-12 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 2.2 units for moneyline gamblers through the early portions of the season and 2.1 units ATS. Colorado is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Miami games have an over/under record of 13-11 so far in 2018. Colorado has an over/under record of 12-12-2.

Tyler Anderson is getting the start for the visiting Rockies. The left-handed Anderson is 1-0 with a 4.32 ERA and 27 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and five strikeouts across seven innings).

The Marlins are sending righty Jose Urena (0-3, 5.88 ERA) to the hill. Urena has 21 strikeouts and nine walks to his name, as well as a 1.38 WHIP. Urena made two starts against the Rockies in 2017, posting a 0-1 record with a 7.84 ERA.

Miami’s pitchers have given up 5.7 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.96, a WHIP of 1.40 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.5. The bullpen has a 5.68 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 10.0 K/9.

Miami’s offense has put up 3.4 runs per contest, including 3.5 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .234/.311/.380 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Marlins’ hitters have been led by third baseman Brian Anderson and first baseman Justin Bour. Anderson is slashing .256/.385/.349 with 22 hits, 12 RBIs and 10 runs scored, and Bour’s line is .244/.340/.415 with four homers, 13 RBIs and eight runs.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .289/.366/.536, Bour did not seem to enjoy hitting against lefty pitching at home last year, producing .233/.283/.465 across 46 plate appearances.

In the visiting dugout, Colorado’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.54 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.43 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.30, along with a WHIP of 1.40.

The Rockies offense has slashed .230/.306/.395 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game this year, including 5.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Right fielder Charlie Blackmon and third baseman Nolan Arenado have led Colorado’s hitters. Blackmon is slashing .300/.385/.638 with eight home runs, 15 RBIs and 21 runs scored, while Arenado is hitting .342/.437/.589 with four homers, 12 RBIs and 12 runs scored.

Putting up a slash line of .284/.346/.476 across 254 such plate appearances, Blackmon didn’t do as well hitting against righties on the road last year (compared to his overall season slash line of .331/.399/.601).

The Rockies have gained 4.1 units and are 8-7 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in eight of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Marlins have netted 0.8 units and are 3-3 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to two which went under the total.

Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

Miami has posted 18.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.8 over its last five.

The Rockies have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit 10 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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