The Colorado Rockies are set to face off against the Seattle Mariners at Safeco Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET and this interleague matchup will be shown on either RTNW or ATRM.
Colorado Rockies at Seattle Mariners Odds
Colorado (+170) is the underdog to Seattle (-180) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this day game at 7.5 runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). You can also bet on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at -130 for the Rockies +1.5 runs and +110 for the Mariners -1.5 runs.
The Mariners are 56-33 straight up (SU) and 46-42 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 22.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.9 units (ATS). Seattle has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Rockies have gone 45-43 SU this year and are 43-44 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 0.6 units for moneyline bettors and 0.5 units ATS. Colorado has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Neither squad has positioned itself as a strong over/under play this season. Seattle games have had an over/under record of 43-44-1 so far in 2018. The Rockies have an over/under record of 41-43-3.
Left-hander Kyle Freeland is getting the nod for Colorado. Freeland (8-6, 3.25 ERA) has racked up 84 strikeouts in 105.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Mariners this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 3.00 ERA and three strikeouts over six innings).
The Mariners will turn to lefty James Paxton (8-2, 3.39 ERA), who’s got 145 strikeouts and 32 walks as well as a 1.07 WHIP. Paxton only made one start against the Rockies in 2017 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and six strikeouts across 5.1 innings).
Seattle’s pitching staff has yielded 4.1 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.80 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.7 K/9.
The Seattle offense is putting up 4.3 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over its last five. The team has hit .244/.288/.394 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Shortstop Jean Segura and right fielder Dee Gordon have paced the Mariners’ offense this year. Segura is slashing .331/.360/.466 with six home runs, 46 RBIs, 60 runs and 14 steals, and Gordon’s line is .283/.303/.350 with 93 hits, 21 RBIs, 39 runs and 22 stolen bases.
In the visiting dugout, Colorado’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.48 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.45 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.39, along with a WHIP of 1.32.
Rockies hitters have slashed .253/.320/.424 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game this year, including 4.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Colorado’s hitters have been paced by third baseman Nolan Arenado and shortstop Trevor Story, who have combined to belt 38 home runs. Arenado is slashing .310/.393/.594 with 22 home runs, 63 RBIs and 57 runs scored. Story (.282/.347/.522) has produced 16 homers, 60 RBIs, 44 runs and 11 stolen bases.
The Rockies have lost 1.0 units and are 20-15 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to 20 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 0.4 units and are 15-13 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in 11 of those games, compared to 16 that went under the total.
Colorado Rockies at Seattle Mariners Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has hit in five of Colorado’s last seven games.
The Rockies have won seven of their last eight games SU.
Colorado has recorded 22.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.4 over its last five.
Each team has hit 12 home runs over its last 10 games.
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