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Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants Betting Preview 05/17/18

Ed Szczepanski-USA TODAY Sports

The Colorado Rockies are making a road trip to San Francisco to take on their division rival Giants at AT&T Park. The matchup starts at 10:15 p.m. ET and fans can watch the game on ATRM and NSBA.

Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Colorado (+110) as the underdog to San Francisco (-120). The total sits at 8 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -120 or the under for an even +100. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at Rockies +1.5 runs (-190) and Giants +-1.5 runs (+165).

The Giants are 22-22 SU and 27-16 ATS. The team has gained 5.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.6 units against the spread (ATS). The Rockies have gone 23-20 SU this year and are 23-20 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 3.9 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 4.9 units ATS.

Giants games have an over/under record of 22-20-1 so far in 2018. The Rockies have been a decent under bet with a total record of 16-25-2.

Right-hander Chad Bettis is projected to start for Colorado. Bettis is 4-1 with a 3.12 ERA and 30 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Giants this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 5.06 ERA and three strikeouts across 5.1 innings).

The Giants will put the ball in the right hand of Jeff Samardzija (1-2, 6.94 ERA), who’s got 20 punchouts and 15 walks this season as well as a 1.71 WHIP. Samardzija made four starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 1-3 record in 2017, putting together a 1-3 record with a 7.66 ERA.

Colorado’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.16 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.35 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.69, along with a K-per-9 of 9.31.

The Rockies offense has slashed .229/.306/.399 on its way to 4.0 runs scored per game this season, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Third baseman Nolan Arenado and outfielder Charlie Blackmon have led Colorado’s hitters. Arenado is slashing .317/.407/.576 with eight home runs, 23 RBIs and 22 runs scored, while Blackmon (.275/.380/.549) has produced 11 homers, 21 RBIs and 31 runs scored.

Putting up a slash line of .243/.316/.443 across 263 plate appearances, Arenado didn’t do especially well against righties on the road in 2017 (his overall season line was .309/.373/.586).

For the home team, San Francisco’s pitching staff has allowed 4.7 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.44 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.16 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.4 K/9. In 23 games against NL West opponents, Giants starters have an ERA of 3.82 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.95.

The San Francisco hitters have produced 4.1 runs per contest, including 3.4 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .326/.371/.538 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

First baseman Brandon Belt and catcher Buster Posey have led the Giants’ hitters so far. Belt is hitting .301/.405/.562 with nine home runs, 23 RBIs and 24 runs scored, and Posey’s line is .310/.375/.434 with 40 hits, 15 RBIs and 17 runs.

The Rockies have gained 5.0 units and are 12-13 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 11 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Giants have lost 1.8 units and are 14-11 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 10 of those games, compared to 14 that went under the total.

Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The under has cashed in five of Colorado’s last seven games.

The Colorado defense has allowed two errors over the last 10 games, compared to eight errors for San Francisco over its last 10.

The Rockies have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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