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Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants Free Pick 05/18/18

Neville E. Guard-USA TODAY Sports

The Colorado Rockies are making a road trip to San Francisco to play their NL West foe Giants at AT&T Park. The action gets going at 10:15 p.m. ET and you can catch it on both ATRM and KNTV.

Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants Odds

Colorado (-110) is the road favorite over San Francisco (+100) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). Gamblers can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at Rockies -1.5 runs (+135) and Giants 1.5 runs (-155).

The Giants are 22-22 SU and 27-17 ATS. They’ve gained 4.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.5 units against the spread (ATS). The Rockies are 23-20 SU and have gone 23-20 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 3.9 units for moneyline bettors in the season’s early going and 4.9 units ATS.

San Francisco games have had an over/under record of 23-20-1 so far in 2018. The Rockies have been a decent under bet with a total record of 16-25-2.

Kyle Freeland will get the start for Colorado. The southpaw Freeland is 3-4 with a 3.42 ERA and 44 strikeouts. He has yet to face San Francisco this year, but he made four starts against the team in 2017, compiling a 2-2 record with a 3.22 ERA and 12 strikeouts.

The Giants are sending lefty Derek Holland (2-4, 4.79 ERA) to the mound. Holland has 39 strikeouts and 19 walks to his name, as well as a 1.28 WHIP. Holland only made one start against the Rockies in 2017 (0-1, 13.50 ERA and two strikeouts across four innings).

Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.16 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.35 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.69, along with a K/9 of 9.31.

Rockies hitters have slashed .229/.306/.399 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Third baseman Nolan Arenado and right fielder Charlie Blackmon have led Colorado’s hitters. Arenado is slashing .317/.407/.576 with eight home runs, 23 RBIs and 22 runs scored, while Blackmon (.275/.380/.549) has produced 11 homers, 21 RBIs and 31 runs scored.

Arenado seemed to enjoy hitting lefty pitching on the road last season. Over 86 such plate appearances, he put up a slash line of .408/.477/.803 (compared to his overall season line of .309/.373/.586).

In the other dugout, San Francisco’s pitchers have given up 4.7 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.44 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.16 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.4 K/9. In 23 divisional games, Giants starters have an ERA of 3.82 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.95.

The San Francisco hitters have produced 4.1 runs per contest, including 3.4 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .326/.371/.538 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Giants’ hitters have been led by first baseman Brandon Belt and catcher Buster Posey. Belt is slashing .301/.405/.562 with nine home runs, 23 RBIs and 24 runs scored, and Posey’s line is .310/.375/.434 with 40 hits, 15 RBIs and 17 runs.

Compared to his total season slash line of .241/.355/.469, Belt seemed to take a step back when hitting lefties at home in 2017, slashing .179/.276/.299 over 76 such plate appearances.

The Rockies have lost 1.1 units and are 11-7 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in five of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Giants have netted 7.2 units and are 13-5 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in 12 of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under.

Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER

Click Here to Start Betting Today!

Notes

Betting Trends

The over has cashed in only two of Colorado’s last seven games.

San Francisco has recorded 22.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 29.6 over its last five.

The Rockies have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.

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