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Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Matchup 08/04/18

Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

The Colorado Rockies will head east to Miller Park to square off against the Milwaukee Brewers. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will broadcast this NL showdown.

Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Milwaukee (-135) is hosting this one as the favorite over Colorado (+125) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at -170 for the Rockies +1.5 runs and +150 for the Brewers -1.5 runs.

The Rockies are 58-50 SU and have gone 57-51 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 8.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 7.2 units ATS. Colorado has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 63-49 SU and 58-54 ATS. The team’s gained 12.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 0.3 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Brewers games have a 51-58-3 over/under record in 2018. Colorado has an over/under record of 49-54-5.

Tyler Anderson will get the nod for the visiting Rockies. The southpaw Anderson (6-3, 3.69 ERA) has racked up 117 punchouts in 126 innings so far. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 7.94 ERA and eight strikeouts over 5.2 innings).

The Brewers are going with Freddy Peralta (4-2, 3.61 ERA), who has 63 punchouts and 26 walks to his name, as well as a 1.08 WHIP. Peralta is 1-0 with 13 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Colorado this year.

As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.89, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.8. The bullpen has a 3.60 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 10.2 K/9.

The Milwaukee offense is putting up 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .257/.304/.430 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Brewers’ hitters have been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is slashing .321/.383/.531 with 16 home runs, 58 RBIs, 75 runs and 13 stolen bases, and Cain’s line is .299/.393/.425 with eight homers, 30 RBIs, 55 runs and 19 stolen bases.

In the other dugout, Colorado’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.27 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.34 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.17, along with a K-per-9 of 8.90.

The Rockies offense has slashed .256/.324/.433 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game this season, including 3.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Third baseman Nolan Arenado and right fielder Charlie Blackmon continue to lead Colorado’s hitters. Arenado is slashing .308/.391/.592 with 28 home runs, 80 RBIs and 72 runs scored. Blackmon (.284/.353/.495) is up to 21 homers, 49 RBIs and 81 runs scored.

The Brewers have lost 2.1 units and are 11-16 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 16 of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under.

Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has hit in three of Colorado’s last seven games.

The Rockies have lost three of their last four games SU.

Colorado has posted 18.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.6 over its last five.

The Rockies have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 11 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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