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Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Matchup 08/05/18

Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

The Colorado Rockies are set to play the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will televise this NL matchup.

Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Both teams have equal moneyline odds (-105) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 8.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. The game’s runline odds stand at +140 for taking the Rockies -1.5 runs and -160 for the Brewers +1.5.

The Rockies are 58-52 SU and are 57-52 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 7.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.3 units ATS. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 65-49 SU and 59-54 ATS. They’ve gained 13.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.3 units ATS.

Milwaukee games have a 51-59-3 over/under record in 2018. Colorado has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 49-55-5.

Jon Gray will get the start for Colorado. The right-handed Gray is 9-7 with a 4.99 ERA and 136 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with 10 strikeouts and a 10.13 ERA against Milwaukee this year.

The Brewers are handing the ball to lefty Wade Miley (2-1, 1.53 ERA), who’s got 17 strikeouts and 15 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.19 WHIP. Miley hasn’t faced the Rockies yet this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.

As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.87, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.8. The bullpen has a 3.61 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 10.1 K/9.

The Milwaukee hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 5.0 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .234/.304/.437 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Brewers’ hitters have been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is hitting .326/.387/.544 with 17 home runs, 59 RBIs, 78 runs and 13 stolen bases, and Cain’s line sits at .294/.390/.417 with eight homers, 30 RBIs, 55 runs and 19 stolen bases.

In the other dugout, Colorado’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.33 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 8.38 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.19, along with a K-per-9 of 8.86.

Rockies hitters have slashed .255/.323/.433 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Third baseman Nolan Arenado and shortstop Trevor Story continue to lead Colorado’s offense. Arenado is slashing .302/.386/.582 with 28 home runs, 80 RBIs and 72 runs scored, while Story (.290/.352/.551) is up to 23 homers, 75 RBIs, 56 runs and 13 steals.

The Rockies have gained 4.2 units and are 26-17 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 26 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 15.8 units and are 48-38 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 35 of those games, compared to 48 that went under.

Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The under has hit in four of Colorado’s last seven games.

The Rockies have dropped five of their last six games SU.

Milwaukee has posted 23.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.2 over its last five.

The Rockies have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 14 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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