In their final home game of the season, the La Salle Explorers (12-17, 6-10 A10) host the Dayton Flyers (13-15, 7-9 A10) at Tom Gola Arena. The game is scheduled to get underway at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 28, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 145 points with La Salle opening as a 3-point favorite.
Dayton Flyers vs. La Salle Explorers Betting Prediction
The Flyers are hoping for a better outcome after their 81-56 loss to the No. 18 Rhode Island Rams in their last outing. Rhode Island’s 10.8 turnover percentage was their biggest strength over Dayton, who had a mark of 28.6. The Rams’ mark was better than their season average of 13.6, while the Flyers’ was above their season average of 18.1. Trey Landers had a good performance for Dayton, finishing with 10 points and 10 rebounds.
In the Explorers’ last game, they defeated the Fordham Rams, 73-60. The Explorers, who came into the game averaging an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.4, had an extraordinary mark of 34.5, while the Rams had a free throw rate of 0.103 (below their season average of 0.195). B.J. Johnson was the top scorer from either team with 23 points on 8-for-11 shooting.
Dayton could have a tough time creating turnovers. La Salle ranks 54th in the NCAA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 16.7 percent), while Dayton forces the 219th-most turnovers (18.4 percent). Additionally, the Flyers rank 287th in offensive rebounding percentage (25.5 percent), while the Explorers rank 43rd in defensive rebounding percentage (75.0 percent).
Dayton comes into the contest with records of 13-15 straight up (SU) and 9-19 against the spread (ATS). Vegas is known to set the total low when the Flyers are involved, as 16 of their 28 games have gone over the projected point total.
Meanwhile, La Salle owns records of 12-17 SU and 10-16-2 ATS. Similarly to Dayton, games featuring the Explorers also tend to finish over the total (64.3 percent).
After the Flyers won the sole game against the Explorers last season, 66-55, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. The Flyers had a much better turnover percentage (13.0 vs. 26.3) and had a better free throw rate (0.283 vs. 0.200).
Dayton Flyers vs. La Salle Explorers Free Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Dayton, ATS Winner – Dayton, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
Dayton is 3-10 ATS on the road with 7 overs and 6 unders.
At home, La Salle is 6-7 ATS with 10 overs and 3 unders.
Dayton ranks 35th in rebounds allowed per game (31.6) while La Salle ranks 188th (35.7).
The Flyers rank 45th in assists per game (16.0) while the Explorers rank 187th (12.8).
La Salle ranks 47th in three pointers allowed per game (19.6) while Dayton ranks 162nd (22.3).
The Flyers rank ninth in blocks allowed per game (2.3) while the Explorers rank 74th (3.0).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Dayton is 0-5 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
La Salle is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over their last five games.
The Flyers’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 6.8, up from 0.7 for the season.
During their last five games, the Explorers have scored an average of 73.0 points per game (0.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 73.2 points per game (1.3 below their season average).
