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Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox Free Pick 06/15/18

Mike DiNovo-USA TODAY Sports

The Detroit Tigers will pay a visit to Guaranteed Rate Field to do battle against their divisional rival Chicago White Sox. The opening pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET and NBC Sports Chicago will televise the matchup.

Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox Odds

Vegas is listing Detroit (+125) as the dog to Chicago (-135). The total sits at nine runs and bettors can wager on the over for -120 and the under for +100. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at -170 for the Tigers +1.5 runs and +150 for the White Sox -1.5.

The Tigers have gone 33-37 SU this year and are 38-31 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 6.3 units for moneyline bettors and 2.5 units ATS. Detroit is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The White Sox, on the other hand, are 24-43 SU and 35-31 ATS. They’ve lost 10.1 units for moneyline bettors and 0.8 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven.

Chicago games have an over/under record of 26-35-5 so far in 2018. Detroit has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 29-38-2.

Mike Fiers will get the nod for Detroit. The right-handed Fiers is 5-3 with a 4.01 ERA and 50 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 3.09 ERA against Chicago this year (two starts).

The White Sox are handing the ball to righty Reynaldo Lopez (2-4, 3.26 ERA), who has 54 strikeouts and 34 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.22 WHIP. Lopez is 0-1 with eight strikeouts and a 1.29 ERA across two starts against Detroit this year.

Chicago’s pitching staff has given up 5.0 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.19, a WHIP of 1.45 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 6.3. The bullpen has a 3.83 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 29 games against AL Central foes, White Sox starters have an ERA of 4.77 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.27.

Chicago’s offense is putting up 3.8 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .187/.263/.303 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Jose Abreu and third baseman Yolmer Sanchez have led the White Sox offense this year. Abreu is hitting .288/.346/.515 with 11 home runs, 40 RBIs and 36 runs scored, and Sanchez’s line is .264/.313/.413 with four homers, 28 RBIs, 27 runs and six stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.17 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 7.05 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.40, along with a WHIP of 1.26 and a K-per-9 of 8.30.

The Tigers offense has slashed .252/.311/.401 on its way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias have paced Detroit’s hitters. Castellanos is hitting .305/.346/.473 with six home runs, 34 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Iglesias is hitting .263/.312/.397 with two homers, 25 RBIs, 25 runs and 11 stolen bases.

The Tigers have lost 0.9 units and are 25-25 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 18 of those games, compared to 30 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the White Sox have lost 8.2 units and are 26-24 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 18 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve cashed the under.

Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – White Sox, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has hit in six of Chicago’s last seven games.

Detroit has posted 18.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.6 over its last five.

The Tigers have hit five home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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