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Detroit Tigers at Houston Astros Betting Preview 07/14/18

The Detroit Tigers will take on the Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park. This AL matchup will begin at 4:10 p.m. ET and ATTSN Southwest will be airing the game.

Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Houston (-250) as the favorite over Detroit (+225). The total is sitting at 8 runs and gamblers can take the over or the under for -110. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at +100 for the Tigers +1.5 runs and -120 for the Astros -1.5 runs.

The Tigers have gone just 40-56 SU this year and are 50-45 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.0 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 4.0 units ATS. Detroit is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Astros, on the other hand, are 63-34 SU and 48-48 ATS. They’ve gained 2.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 5.0 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven.

Houston games have had an over/under record of 43-48-5 thus far in 2018. Detroit has been a great under bet with a total record of 37-55-3.

Michael Fulmer will get the start for Detroit. The right-handed Fulmer is 3-8 with a 4.11 ERA and 91 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Astros this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 1.29 ERA and four strikeouts across seven innings).

The Astros are turning to righty Gerrit Cole (9-2, 2.57 ERA), who has 169 strikeouts and 41 walks as well as a WHIP of 0.97. Cole only made one start against the Tigers in 2017 (1-0, 3.38 ERA and seven strikeouts across eight innings).

Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.34 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 7.31 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.47, along with a K/9 of 8.05.

Tigers hitters have slashed .247/.307/.387 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game this season, including 3.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (0-5 SU).

Detroit’s hitters have been led by right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Castellanos is slashing .306/.362/.523 with 15 home runs, 56 RBIs and 53 runs scored. Iglesias (.272/.311/.380) is up to two homers, 34 RBIs, 29 runs and 12 steals.

For the home team, Houston’s pitching staff has given up 3.1 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 2.99 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 10.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 2.82, a WHIP of 1.05 and a K/9 of 10.8.

The Houston offense is putting up 5.0 runs per contest, including 5.0 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .221/.272/.326 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Second baseman Jose Altuve and third baseman Alex Bregman have led the Astros’ hitters this year. Altuve is hitting .335/.399/.476 with nine home runs, 44 RBIs, 62 runs and 14 stolen bases, and Bregman’s line is .287/.385/.538 with 20 homers, 63 RBIs and 64 runs scored.

The Tigers have lost 11.8 units and are 34-37 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 25 of those games, compared to 44 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Astros have netted 7.6 units and are 33-28 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 28 of those games, compared to 29 that’ve gone under.

Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER

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Betting Notes

The over has cashed in just two of Detroit’s last seven games.

Detroit has recorded 19.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 17.0 over its last five.

The Tigers have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Astros have hit 12 over their last 10.


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