The Detroit Tigers will be taking on their divisional rival Minnesota Twins at Target Field. Fox Sports North is in line to televise the action and the game will get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Detroit (+155) as the underdog to Minnesota (-165). The total is sitting at 10 runs and bettors can take the over or the under for -110. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at Tigers +1.5 runs (-140) and Twins -1.5 runs (+120).
The Tigers are 50-73 SU and have gone 62-60 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.0 units for moneyline bettors and 8.1 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Twins, on the other hand, are 58-63 SU and 66-54 ATS. They’ve lost 6.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 9.9 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Minnesota games have a 57-60-3 over/under record in 2018. Tigers games have gone under 68 times, gone over 48 times and pushed on six instances.
Ryan Carpenter will get the start for the visiting Tigers. Carpenter is 0-1 with a 6.39 ERA and seven strikeouts. He has yet to face the Twins this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Twins are handing the ball to righty Kohl Stewart (0-1, 6.23 ERA), who has one punchouts and one walks, as well as a WHIP of 2.08. Stewart is 0-1 with a 6.23 ERA in one start against Detroit this year.
Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.47 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.24 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.44, along with a WHIP of 1.30.
Tigers hitters have slashed .241/.301/.377 on their way to 3.8 runs scored per game this season, including 3.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Detroit’s hitters have been led by right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Castellanos is slashing .292/.344/.496 with 18 home runs, 69 RBIs and 66 runs scored, while Iglesias (.264/.306/.389) is up to five homers, 48 RBIs, 39 runs and 14 steals.
In the other dugout, Minnesota’s pitching staff has yielded 4.7 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 4.40 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.54 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 9.4 K/9. In 51 divisional games, Twins starters have an ERA of 4.47 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.16.
Minnesota’s offense has produced 4.5 runs per contest, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 6.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .264/.306/.485 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.
Left fielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar have led the Twins’ batters this year. Rosario is hitting .295/.335/.496 with 21 home runs, 69 RBIs and 77 runs scored, and Escobar’s line sits at .274/.338/.514 with 15 homers, 63 RBIs and 45 runs scored.
The Tigers have lost 12.1 units and are 42-48 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 32 of those games, compared to 53 that’ve gone under against -handed starting pitchers.
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has cashed in three of Detroit’s last seven games.
Minnesota has posted 22.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 23.8 over its last five.
The Tigers have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
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