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Detroit Tigers at Oakland Athletics Free Pick 08/04/18

Stan Szeto-USA TODAY Sports

The Detroit Tigers will pay a visit to Oakland to face the Athletics at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum. NBC Sports – California will televise this AL matchup and the game gets underway at 9:05 p.m. ET.

Detroit Tigers at Oakland Athletics Odds

Vegas is listing Detroit (+170) as the underdog to Oakland (-180). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -125 for over 8.5 runs and +105 for under 8.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds coming in at Tigers +1.5 runs (-130) and Athletics -1.5 runs (+110).

The Tigers are 47-62 SU and have gone 56-53 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle much this year, gaining 1.4 units for moneyline bettors, despite having lost 5.0 units ATS. Detroit is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Athletics, on the other hand, are 64-46 SU and 57-53 ATS. The team has gained 23.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.6 units ATS. Oakland has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Athletics games have had an over/under record of 53-50-7 in 2018. The Tigers have been a great under bet with a total record of 44-61-4.

Jordan Zimmermann will get the nod for the visiting Tigers. The right-handed Zimmermann is 4-3 with a 4.44 ERA and 67 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Oakland this year.

The Athletics are putting the ball in the right hand of Edwin Jackson (2-2, 3.32 ERA), who’s got 32 strikeouts and 13 walks this season as well as a 1.08 WHIP. Jackson is 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against Detroit this year.

Detroit’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.33 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 7.34 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.46, along with a K/9 of 7.84.

The Tigers offense has slashed .242/.302/.381 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game this season, including 3.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias continue to lead Detroit’s hitters. Castellanos is hitting .286/.340/.487 with 15 home runs, 58 RBIs and 57 runs scored, while Iglesias is hitting .268 with four homers, 44 RBIs, 35 runs and 13 stolen bases.

For the home team, Oakland’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.34, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 6.6. The bullpen has a 3.41 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.0 K/9.

The Oakland offense is putting up 4.8 runs per outing, including 6.9 per game over its last 10 games and 5.4 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .285/.369/.485 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Athletics’ hitters have been led by shortstop Marcus Semien and second baseman Jed Lowrie. Semien is slashing .259/.317/.372 with seven home runs, 39 RBIs, 61 runs and 11 stolen bases, while Lowrie’s line sits at .271/.352/.468 with 17 homers, 68 RBIs and 48 runs scored.

The Tigers have lost 7.8 units and are 37-43 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 30 of those games, compared to 47 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Athletics have netted 21.2 units and are 38-35 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 36 of those games, as opposed to 34 which went under the total.

Detroit Tigers vs. Oakland Athletics Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Athletics, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

Detroit has tallied 14 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Oakland has 21 XBH over its last five.

Oakland has posted 28.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.2 over its last five.

The Tigers have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Athletics have hit 17 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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