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Detroit Tigers at Seattle Mariners Free Pick 05/19/18

Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

The Seattle Mariners are facing off against the Detroit Tigers at Safeco Field. This AL matchup starts at 9:10 p.m. ET and you can watch the game on both RTNW and FSDT.

Detroit Tigers at Seattle Mariners Odds

Seattle (-235) is the favorite over Detroit (+215) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at -105 for the Tigers +1.5 runs and -115 for the Mariners -1.5.

The Mariners are 25-19 SU and 24-18 ATS. They’ve gained 5.8 units for moneyline bettors and 4.5 units against the spread (ATS). On the other hand, the Tigers are 20-24 SU and have gone 24-18 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 1.5 units for moneyline gamblers over the early part of the season and 2.6 units ATS.

Mariners games have an over/under record of 25-17 thus far in 2018. The Tigers have an over/under record of 19-22-1.

Right-hander Mike Fiers is the projected starter for Detroit. Fiers is 4-2 with a 4.23 ERA and 26 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mariners this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 11.25 ERA and five strikeouts across four innings).

The Mariners are sending lefty James Paxton (2-1, 3.52 ERA) to the mound. Paxton has 71 strikeouts and 19 walks to his name, as well as a 1.12 WHIP. Paxton is 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA over one starts against Detroit this year.

As a unit, Seattle’s pitching staff has yielded 4.5 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.67, a WHIP of 1.33 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.3. The bullpen has a 4.01 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 10.1 K/9.

The Seattle hitters have put up 4.6 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .231/.297/.343 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Mariners’ hitters have been led by Mitch Haniger, who is hitting .292/.374/.559 with 10 home runs, 34 RBIs and 21 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Detroit’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.28 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 7.33 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.36, along with a WHIP of 1.26 and a K/9 of 8.21.

The Tigers offense has slashed .259/.320/.414 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 4.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Detroit’s hitters have been led by Nicholas Castellanos, who is hitting .317/.371/.497 with four home runs, 24 RBIs and 22 runs scored. He seemed to enjoy hitting left-handed pitchers on the road last season. Over 87 such plate appearances, he maintained a slash line of .329/.368/.720 (compared to his total season line of .272/.320/.490).

The Mariners just snuck away with the previous game in this series by a score of five runs to four.

Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has cashed in only two of Detroit’s last seven games.

The Tigers have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mariners have hit nine over their last 10.

Seattle has recorded 22.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.2 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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