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Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox Betting Preview 09/04/18

Patrick Gorski-USA TODAY Sports

The Detroit Tigers will be squaring off against their AL Central foe Chicago White Sox at Guaranteed Rate Field. WGN will broadcast the matchup. The game gets underway at 8:10 p.m. ET.

Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox Odds

Vegas is listing Detroit (+130) as the underdog to Chicago (-140). Bettors can gamble on the game’s total with odds sitting at -120 for over 9.5 runs and even money (+100) for under 9.5. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at -170 for the Tigers +1.5 runs and +150 for the White Sox -1.5.

The Tigers are 55-83 SU and are 70-67 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.3 units for moneyline bettors and 7.2 units ATS. Detroit is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The White Sox, on the other hand, are 56-82 SU and 71-66 ATS. They’ve lost 8.8 units for moneyline bettors and 0.7 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in six of those seven.

Chicago games have an over/under record of 65-66-6 in 2018. Detroit has been a good under bet with a total record of 58-72-7.

Francisco Liriano is getting the start for Detroit. The southpaw Liriano is 3-9 with a 4.96 ERA and 82 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with eight strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA against Chicago this year.

The White Sox are putting the ball in the right hand of Lucas Giolito (10-9, 5.66 ERA, 1.41 WHIP), who has 111 strikeouts and 77 walks this season. Giolito is 2-1 with 23 strikeouts and a 5.25 ERA over four starts against Detroit this year.

Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.55 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.30 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.59, along with a K-per-9 of 8.08.

Tigers hitters have slashed .242/.302/.382 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game this season, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias have led Detroit’s offense. Castellanos is slashing .291/.345/.489 with 20 home runs, 75 RBIs and 75 runs scored, while Iglesias is hitting .269 with five homers, 48 RBIs, 43 runs and 15 steals.

For the home team, Chicago’s pitchers have given up 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.89, a WHIP of 1.37 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 6.8. The bullpen has a 4.54 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 61 divisional games, White Sox starters have an ERA of 4.53 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.34.

The Chicago hitters are putting up 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .290/.358/.491 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

First baseman Jose Abreu and third baseman Yolmer Sanchez have led the White Sox offense this year. Abreu is hitting .272/.331/.491 with 22 home runs, 78 RBIs and 67 runs scored, while Sanchez’s line is .250/.317/.379 with seven homers, 47 RBIs, 53 runs and 13 stolen bases.

The Tigers have lost 13.9 units and are 49-53 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 39 of those games, compared to 57 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the White Sox have lost 3.9 units and are 18-17 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 15 of those games, as opposed to 19 that’ve gone under.

Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – White Sox, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has cashed in five of Detroit’s last seven games.

Chicago has posted 24.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.2 over its last five.

The Tigers have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.

*****

Written by GMS Previews

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