The Chicago White Sox will play host to their divisional rival Detroit Tigers at Guaranteed Rate Field. The matchup will begin at 2:10 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to NBC Sports Chicago.
Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox Odds
Vegas is listing Chicago (-115) as the favorite over Detroit (+105). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at +100 for over nine runs and -120 for under nine. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at -200 for the Tigers +1.5 runs and +170 for the White Sox -1.5 runs.
The White Sox are 70-66 against the spread (ATS), but just 55-82 straight up (SU). The team has lost 10.6 units for moneyline bettors and 1.8 units (ATS). Chicago has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. On the other hand, the Tigers have gone 55-82 SU this year and are 69-67 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 9.7 units for moneyline bettors and 8.3 units ATS. Detroit’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Chicago games have a 65-65-6 over/under record in 2018. The Tigers have been a good under bet with a total record of 57-72-7.
Michael Fulmer will get the start for the visiting Tigers. The right-handed Fulmer (3-10, 4.71 ERA) has racked up 100 punchouts in 120.1 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with eight strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Chicago this year (two starts).
The White Sox are sending righty Reynaldo Lopez (5-9, 4.51 ERA) to the mound. Lopez has 116 strikeouts and 66 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.36. Lopez is 0-1 with 20 strikeouts and a 3.23 ERA across five starts against Detroit this year.
As a unit, Chicago’s pitching staff has given up 5.2 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 4.92 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 6.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.54 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 60 games against divisional opponents, White Sox starters have an ERA of 4.60 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.33.
The Chicago offense is putting up 4.2 runs per outing, including 4.3 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .291/.354/.465 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
First baseman Jose Abreu and third baseman Yolmer Sanchez have led the White Sox batters this year. Abreu is hitting .272/.331/.491 with 22 home runs, 78 RBIs and 67 runs scored, while Sanchez is batting .251 with seven homers, 47 RBIs, 53 runs and 13 stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Detroit’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.57 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 7.30 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.55, along with a K/9 of 8.06.
Tigers hitters have slashed .243/.302/.382 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Outfielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias have paced Detroit’s hitters. Castellanos is hitting .294/.348/.492 with 20 home runs, 75 RBIs and 75 runs scored, while Iglesias (.269/.310/.389) has produced five homers, 48 RBIs, 43 runs and 15 stolen bases.
The Tigers have lost 16.3 units and are 48-53 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 38 of those games, compared to 57 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the White Sox have lost 5.0 units and are 53-49 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 50 of those games, as opposed to 47 that’ve cashed the under.
Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – White Sox, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has cashed in just two of Detroit’s last seven games.
The Tigers have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
Detroit has recorded 23 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 contests and 27 over its last five.
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