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Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Indians Free Preview 06/23/18

David Richard-USA TODAY Sports

The Detroit Tigers will face their divisional rival Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field. The game gets underway 6:10 p.m. ET and SportsTime Ohio will televise the matchup.

Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians Odds

Cleveland (-255) is hosting this one as the favorite against Detroit (+230) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at Tigers +1.5 runs (+105) and Indians -1.5 runs (-125).

The Tigers are 36-40 SU and have gone 42-33 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 8.6 units for moneyline bettors and 3.6 units ATS. The Indians, on the other hand, are 41-33 SU and 34-39 ATS. They’ve lost 8.3 units for moneyline bettors and 8.8 units ATS.

Cleveland games have an over/under record of 38-33-2 so far in 2018. The Tigers have been a good under bet with a total record of 31-42-2.

The left-handed Francisco Liriano is the probable starter for the visiting Tigers. Liriano is 3-2 with a 3.90 ERA and 45 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with seven strikeouts and a 6.10 ERA against Cleveland this year (two starts).

The Indians are handing the ball to righty Trevor Bauer (6-5, 2.50 ERA), who has 129 punchouts and 33 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.09. Bauer is 3-0 with 29 strikeouts and a 1.17 ERA across three starts against Detroit this year.

Cleveland’s pitching staff has allowed 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.32 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.36 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.8 K/9. In 36 divisional games, Indians starters have an ERA of 2.64 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.64.

The Cleveland offense is putting up 5.0 runs per outing, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 7.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .274/.393/.463 over its last five matchups and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.

The Indians’ batters have been led by shortstop Francisco Lindor and left fielder Michael Brantley. Lindor is slashing .288/.367/.533 with 17 home runs, 41 RBIs, 58 runs and 10 stolen bases, and Brantley’s line is .314/.357/.512 with 11 homers, 42 RBIs and 38 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.28 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 7.16 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.50, along with a WHIP of 1.27.

Tigers hitters have slashed .250/.312/.397 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Detroit’s hitters have been led by right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Castellanos is hitting .302/.344/.487 with nine home runs, 41 RBIs and 36 runs scored, while Iglesias (.274/.319/.397) has produced two homers, 28 RBIs, 26 runs and 12 stolen bases.

The Tigers have gained 1.4 units and are 29-27 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 20 of those games, compared to 34 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Indians have netted 2.7 units and are 11-10 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to nine that went under the total.

Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The under has hit in five of Detroit’s last seven games.

Cleveland has posted 22.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.6 over its last five.

The Tigers have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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