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Detroit Tigers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Free Pick 09/29/18

Patrick Gorski-USA TODAY Sports

The Detroit Tigers will take on the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. This interleague showdown can be viewed across the country on Fox Sports One and the game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET.

Detroit Tigers at Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Detroit (+230) as the underdog to Milwaukee (-255). The total is sitting at 8.5 runs and bettors can take the over or the under for -110. Runline odds stand at +105 for betting the Tigers +1.5 runs and -125 for the Brewers -1.5 runs.

The Brewers are 93-67 straight up (SU) and 83-76 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 19.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.3 units (ATS). The Tigers are 64-96 SU and have gone 81-78 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 8.2 units for moneyline gamblers and 9.4 units ATS.

Brewers games have an over/under record of 75-80-4 in 2018. Detroit has been a decent under bet with a total record of 69-82-8.

Daniel Norris will get the start for the visiting Tigers. The left-handed Norris is 0-5 with a 5.22 ERA and 43 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Brewers are handing the ball to lefty Wade Miley (5-2, 2.32 ERA), who has 48 strikeouts and 26 walks to his name, as well as a 1.18 WHIP. Miley made two starts against the Tigers in 2017, compiling a 0-0 record with a 5.40 ERA.

Detroit’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.61 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 7.43 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.44, along with a K-per-9 of 7.91.

Tigers hitters have slashed .242/.303/.380 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game this year, including 4.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Detroit’s offense has been powered by right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and third baseman Jeimer Candelario. Castellanos is slashing .298/.354/.496 with 22 home runs, 88 RBIs and 86 runs scored, while Candelario is hitting .224 with 19 homers, 54 RBIs and 78 runs scored.

For the home team, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has given up 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have a 3.94 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.52 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 10.3 K/9.

Milwaukee’s offense is putting up 4.6 runs per contest, including 6.3 per game over its last 10 games and 7.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .289/.396/.533 over its last five games and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.

Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have led the Brewers’ offense this year. Yelich is slashing .322/.397/.588 with 34 home runs, 106 RBIs, 114 runs and 21 stolen bases, while Cain’s line sits at .310/.399/.420 with 10 homers, 37 RBIs, 88 runs and 30 stolen bases.

Detroit Tigers at Milwaukee Brewers Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

Detroit has recorded three extra-base hits over its last five games. Milwaukee has 20 XBH over its last five.

The Tigers have lost four of their last five games SU while the Brewers have taken seven of their last eight.

Detroit fielders have nine errors over the last 10 games, compared to three errors for Milwaukee over its last 10.

The Tigers have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 19 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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