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Detroit Tigers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Free Preview 09/30/18

Tigers vs Indians
Matt Marton-USA TODAY Sports

The red-hot Milwaukee Brewers are seeking their seventh straight victory as they play host to the Detroit Tigers at Miller Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin is in line to broadcast this interleague matchup and the game gets going at 3:10 p.m. ET.

Detroit Tigers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds

The Brewers are 94-67 straight up (SU) and 83-77 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 20.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.0 units (ATS). The Tigers are 64-97 SU and have gone 82-78 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 9.2 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 8.4 units ATS.

Brewers games have an over/under record of 76-80-4 in 2018. The Tigers have been a good under bet with a total record of 70-82-8.

Right-hander Spencer Turnbull is projected to start for Detroit. Turnbull is 0-1 with a 5.73 ERA and eight strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Brewers are handing the ball to lefty Gio Gonzalez (9-11, 4.34 ERA), who’s got 146 strikeouts and 79 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.46. Gonzalez did not record a start against the Tigers in 2017.

Milwaukee’s pitching staff has allowed 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.96, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 3.52 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 10.3 K/9.

The Milwaukee hitters have put up 4.6 runs per contest, including 6.1 per game over its last 10 games and 6.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .277/.369/.509 over its last five matchups and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.

The Brewers’ batters have been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is hitting .324/.400/.599 with 36 home runs, 109 RBIs, 116 runs and 21 stolen bases, and Cain is batting .309 with 10 homers, 37 RBIs, 89 runs and 30 steals.

In the visiting dugout, Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.64 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 7.48 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.43, along with a K-per-9 of 7.92.

Tigers hitters have slashed .242/.303/.380 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game this season, including 4.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Detroit’s offense has been led by right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and third baseman Jeimer Candelario. Castellanos is slashing .299/.355/.500 with 23 home runs, 89 RBIs and 88 runs scored. Candelario is slashing .224/.317/.394 with 19 homers, 54 RBIs and 78 runs scored.

Detroit Tigers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

Detroit has recorded six extra-base hits over its last five contests. Milwaukee has 18 XBH over its last five.

The Tigers have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 19 over their last 10.

Detroit fielders have 10 errors over the last 10 games, compared to five errors for Milwaukee over its last 10.

The Tigers have lost five of their last six games SU while the Brewers have taken eight of their last nine.

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Written by GMS Previews

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