DFS SF: Carmelo Anthony Leads Knicks at MSG

Carmelo Anthony resides atop the small forward position this Monday night. He leads a thin table as there are only three games on the docket. Anthony is projected 44.95 DraftKings points to lead the position. In addition to the high volume, his 6.24 value also ranks as the top mark for small forwards. Many owners have been scared off by his inconsistencies, forcing them to look at Middle tier options. Fortunately, there are a number of playable names as Harrison Barnes and Andrew Wiggins both offer save value.

LeBron James delivered on high expectations as he led the Cavaliers to their 28th win of the season. James met a stout Phoenix defense with 28 points and 4 assists. The Suns had their opportunities as he turned the ball over 7 times. James overcame the control issues with 8 rebounds and a steal to lead the position in scoring. His 56.25 DraftKings points were the high point on a night predictably short on small forward production.

Andre Iguodala offered a wide range of value for Golden State’s second unit last night. He played 29 minutes off the bench as the Warriors came back from an early deficit. He offered a mixed bag of value as his line consisted of 8 points, 7 rebounds, and 5 assists. The bench has been a concern for Golden State all season, so production from the veteran is key. He proved to be one of the top options on Sunday as his 7.86 value led the position.

Trevor Ariza found his rhythm from a deep in a fourth quarter comeback for the Rockets. Ariza finished with all of his field goal attempts coming from beyond the arc. He was efficient in his shooting, though, as he went 5-10 from deep. He finished the night with 17 points while adding 7 rebounds, 3 assists, and 2 steals. His 36.25 DraftKings points were well below James’ production, but Ariza was efficient. He delivered on a lower price by posting a 6.47 value that ranked second for all small forwards.

Rank Player Name Position Team Opponent Salary Points Value
1 Carmelo Anthony SF NYK vs NOP $7,200.00 44.95 6.24
2 Harrison Barnes SF DAL @ MIN $6,400.00 39.30 6.14
3 Andrew Wiggins SF MIN vs DAL $6,500.00 34.34 5.28
4 Nikola Mirotic SF CHI vs OKC $4,700.00 28.80 6.13
5 Doug McDermott SF CHI vs OKC $4,200.00 20.45 4.87
6 Andre Roberson SF OKC @ CHI $3,900.00 19.03 4.88
7 Dante Cunningham SF NOP @ NYK $3,500.00 14.44 4.13
8 Dorian Finney-Smith SF DAL @ MIN $3,000.00 12.58 4.19
9 Solomon Hill SF NOP @ NYK $3,000.00 11.88 3.96
10 Jerami Grant SF OKC @ CHI $3,100.00 10.36 3.34
11 Mindaugas Kuzminskas SF NYK vs NOP $3,100.00 10.06 3.24
12 Nemanja Bjelica SF MIN vs DAL $3,000.00 8.73 2.91
13 Lance Thomas SF NYK vs NOP $3,000.00 7.82 2.61

High Tier Pick ($8,500 – $7,000)

Carmelo Anthony – $7200 – 44.945 Points

New York is in a difficult spot with their roster. The team is currently built around Carmelo Anthony and Kristaps Porzingis. However, inconsistent numbers and a massive salary for Anthony have handicapped the team in a number of ways.  The team is pieced together with a handful of veterans as the organization tries to outlast their bad contracts. For the time being, they are a fringe playoff team in a bad conference that’s treading water.

Carmelo Anthony stands in as the number one High tier option with a 37.4 fantasy average each night. The Knicks will be facing the Pelicans at Madison Square Garden this evening. New Orleans has been average against the position as they rank 16th versus opposing small forwards. Carmelo Anthony has reached a more consistent level of production in the new year. It may have started with his big outing in the previous meeting with the Pelicans as he recorded 26 points and 13 rebounds in the loss. The Knicks will look to the veteran to help the team game traction as they’ve lost ten of their last thirteen.

Middle Tier ($7,000 – $5,000)

Harrison Barnes – $6400 – 39.303 Points

The Mavericks’ big off-season signing has delivered despite a lacking core around him. Harrison Barnes has proved that he can handle the biggest workload of his career. Though it will take time for him to develop a higher ceiling, he has already improved the level of his floor. Dallas sits as one of the worst teams in all of basketball. Beyond Barnes is an aging team hindered by recent injuries. Their future is bleak for the time being, but their new small forward appears to be one they can build around.

Barnes plays as one of the top value options with an average of 31.8 fantasy points per night. The Mavericks will take on the Timberwolves on the road this evening. Minnesota has been elite against opposing small forwards with the 6th ranking defense in the league. This will be the first meeting between the two teams this season. Barnes has remained efficient over the past couple of weeks, remaining a reliable 20-point scorer despite a limited ceiling.

Low Tier ( -$5,000)

Nikola Mirotic – $4700 – 28.8 Points

Chicago has disappointed given the number of moves they made in the off-season. The addition of Dwyane Wade has proven to be a good one, but the lack of young talent from recent drafts leaves the team searching for talent. Nikola Mirotic appeared to be one of their successful selections, but he’s lacked the regular production they need. Mirotic is one of the better punt options available this evening with a 21.8 fantasy average this year. Chicago faces Oklahoma City at home tonight. The Thunder offer a poor matchup as they rank 8th against opposing small forwards. These two teams have not met this season. The matchup is a difficult one to predict as Mirotic himself has been very inconsistent. He continues to see increased playing time, but inefficient nights may lead to a change in rotation.


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About Joshua Schwager

Currently living in Eastern North Carolina, Joshua is an avid study of statistics and anything data analysis. He studies daily fantasy and general sports trends to try and get an upper hand. He currently logs a positive ROI in all three major sports. This year he is boasting a cash win percentage of +74% in DFS NFL.

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