The Massachusetts Minutemen (11-19, 4-13 A10) and Duquesne Dukes (16-14, 7-10 A10) bring the regular season to a conclusion when they face off at William D. Mullins Center. The game is scheduled to start at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 3, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 142.5 points with Massachusetts set as a 2.5-point favorite.
Duquesne Dukes at Massachusetts Minutemen ATS Prediction
In the Dukes’ last game, they beat the Saint Louis Billikens, 76-69. The Dukes made 17 of their 24 free throws (70.8 percent), while the Billikens had a turnover percentage of 26.4 (above their season average of 16.5). Duquesne was led by Eric Williams Jr., who contributed 20 points and 11 rebounds.
The Minutemen were blown out by the Richmond Spiders in their last game, 90-65. Richmond’s 8.1 turnover percentage was their largest strength over Massachusetts, who had a rate of 19.8. The Spiders’ mark was better than their season average of 15.4, while the Minutemen’s was above their season average of 16.2. With 22 points on 8-for-12 shooting, C.J. Anderson led Massachusetts in scoring.
Massachusetts could struggle to create turnovers. Duquesne ranks 118th in the nation at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 17.8 percent), while Massachusetts forces the 69th-fewest turnovers (17.0 percent).
Duquesne heads into the game with records of 16-14 straight up (SU) and 13-9 against the spread (ATS). Games involving the Dukes have no tendency in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.
Meanwhile, Massachusetts is 11-19 SU and 13-14 ATS. Minutemen games have typically gone over the O/U total (63.0 percent).
After the Dukes won the lone contest against the Minutemen last season, 96-66, these teams will go head-to-head for the first time this year. The Dukes knocked down 18 of their 24 free throws (75.0 percent) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (37.1 vs. 26.8).
Duquesne Dukes vs. Massachusetts Minutemen Odds Pick
College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Duquesne, ATS Winner – Duquesne, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
Duquesne is 6-5 ATS on the road with 7 unders and 4 overs.
Massachusetts is 7-6 ATS at home with 9 overs and 4 unders.
Massachusetts ranks 62nd in assists per game (15.3) while Duquesne ranks 241st (11.8).
The Dukes rank 104th in rebounds per game (36.5) while the Minutemen rank 243rd (33.1).
Duquesne ranks 32nd in blocks per game (4.5) while Massachusetts ranks 148th (3.0).
The Dukes rank 41st in steals allowed per game (5.3) while the Minutemen rank 122nd (6.2).
Duquesne is 16th in the NCAA with 17.9 three pointers allowed per game while Massachusetts is 60th with 19.9 three pointers allowed per game.
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Duquesne is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Massachusetts is 2-3 ATS with 5 overs over their last five games.
The Dukes have been outscored by an average of 8.0 points in their last five games. On the season, Duquesne has defeated opponents by an average of 3.2 points.
During their last five games, the Minutemen have scored an average of 73.8 points per game (2.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 83.2 points per game (8.4 above their season average).
