Arsenal lead the Premier League title race by five points and hold the fate of the trophy in their own hands, the report says. If both sides win all remaining league matches, Arsenal would be crowned champions on the final day by two points, per the report.
The report outlines the earliest moment the title could be decided. Arsenal’s fastest possible confirmation would come on May 13, according to the scenarios presented, hinging on a Manchester City result when they host Crystal Palace. The calculation assumes City lose to Brentford on May 9 and Arsenal beat West Ham on May 10.
Under that sequence, City would head into the Palace game eight points behind with nine available; a City loss or draw in that match would, per the report, hand the title to Arsenal before Arsenal’s next fixture. The report stresses this requires both sides to avoid further slip-ups before then.
Manchester City’s earliest possible clinch is outlined as May 19 at Bournemouth, per the report. That scenario would require Arsenal to misfire in consecutive matches versus West Ham and Burnley while City beat Brentford and Palace, leaving City on 77 points and Arsenal on 76 before the Bournemouth trip. A City victory there would secure the title before the final day.
The report also notes Arsenal could win at home on May 18, on matchday 37, if City take two, three or four points from their two matches prior. City would not be able to claim the title at the Etihad before the final day because they visit Bournemouth on matchday 37. If the race reaches the final day, City would be at home to Aston Villa while Arsenal travel to Crystal Palace. The report adds that both hypothetical early-clinch scenarios involve unlikely back-to-back defeats for one of the two leading sides.
