The Evansville Aces (7-7, 1-0 MVC) will attempt to put an end to their six-game road losing streak in a matchup against the Illinois State Redbirds (7-7, 0-1 MVC) at Redbird Arena. The game is scheduled to get underway at 4 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 5, 2019.
Evansville Aces vs. Illinois State Redbirds Free Prediction
The last time the Aces played, they were blown out by the Illinois Fighting Illini, 99-60. Illinois’ turnover percentage was their biggest strength over Evansville. The Fighting Illini had a rate of 15.4, while the Aces posted a mark of 29.3. Marty Hill played well for Evansville, recording 13 points and six rebounds.
The Redbirds beat the FGCU Eagles in their last matchup, 74-66. Illinois State’s free throw rate was their biggest advantage over FGCU. The Redbirds had a rate of 0.298, while the Eagles posted a mark of 0.111. With 17 points and 11 rebounds, Illinois State’s Phil Fayne put together a good outing.
After the Redbirds won both games against the Aces last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the most recent contest, Illinois State won 75-71. Illinois State had a much better free throw rate (0.389 vs. 0.224). Evansville, meanwhile, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (30.8 vs. 27.0).
From an effective field goal percentage perspective, Evansville should have a noteworthy advantage. The Aces defense ranks 94th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.479), while the Illinois State offense is ranked 222nd in effective field goal percentage (0.505).
Evansville Aces at Illinois State Redbirds Odds Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Evansville, ATS Winner – Evansville, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Illinois State averages 36.4 rebounds per game, which ranks 129th in the nation. Evansville ranks 253rd in rebounds allowed per game (40.9).
The Aces rank 115th in three pointers attempted per game (23.2) while the Redbirds rank 207th in three pointers allowed per game (25.3).
Illinois State ranks ninth in blocks allowed per game (2.0) while Evansville ranks 100th (3.5).
The Aces average 13.0 assists per game, which ranks 145th in the NCAA. The Redbirds rank 193rd in assists allowed per game (15.0).
Bettings Trends:
The Aces have been outscored by an average of 2.6 points in their last five games. On the season, Evansville has defeated opponents by an average of 0.9 points.
During their last five games, the Redbirds have scored an average of 75.8 points per game (1.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 77.0 points per game (0.7 above their season average).
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