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Georgia Southern Eagles at Dayton Flyers Betting Preview 12/29/18

Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

The Georgia Southern Eagles (8-4) put their five-game winning streak on the line when they go head-to-head with the Dayton Flyers (7-5) at University of Dayton Arena. The game starts at 3:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 29, 2018, and will air on NBC Sports Network.

Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Dayton Flyers Betting Prediction

In the Eagles’ last matchup, they dismantled the Carver College Cougars, 139-51. The Eagles had a much better turnover percentage (8.3 vs. 29.9) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (45.9 vs. 14.9). Georgia Southern was lifted by Quan Jackson, who was the game’s high scorer with 25 points on 11-for-16 shooting.

The Flyers beat the North Florida Ospreys in their last game, 78-70. The Flyers had a much better free throw rate (0.350 vs. 0.211) and had a better turnover percentage (7.7 vs. 12.5). Obi Toppin led Dayton in scoring with 18 points on 8-for-13 shooting from the field.

Ike Smith and Tookie Brown have played well over the last five games for Georgia Southern. Smith has averaged 0 points per game. Not to be outdone, Brown has recorded 0 points a game during that span.

Looking at effective field goal percentage, Dayton should have a significant advantage. The elite Flyers offense ranks 28th in the NCAA in that metric at 0.561, while the Georgia Southern defense is ranked 230th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.509). This game should be a matchup of opposite styles. The fast-breaking Eagles rank ninth in possessions per game, while the more methodical Flyers rank 305th.

Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Dayton Flyers Free Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Dayton, ATS Winner – Georgia Southern, O/U – Under

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Notes

Betting Notes:

Dayton averages 16.4 assists per game, which ranks 35th in the country. Georgia Southern ranks 172nd in assists allowed per game (14.7).

The Flyers rank 30th in rebounds allowed per game (31.1) while the Eagles rank 163rd (36.5).

Georgia Southern ranks 32nd in steals per game (8.3) while Dayton ranks 160th (5.0).

The Eagles rank 50th in blocks per game (4.3) while the Flyers rank 125th (2.7).

Georgia Southern ranks 187th in three pointers attempted per game (20.7) while Dayton ranks 225th (18.8).

Bettings Trends:

The Eagles’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 24.0, up from 10.3 for the season.

During their last five games, the Flyers have scored an average of 74.6 points per game (0.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 65.2 points per game (2.3 below their season average).

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Written by GMS Previews

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