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Georgia Southern Eagles at Eastern Michigan Eagles: NCAA Football Free Pick

Adam Hagy-USA TODAY Sports

In the Raycom Media Camellia Bowl, the Eastern Michigan Eagles are slight underdogs as they prepare to take on the Georgia Southern Eagles. ESPN has the TV rights and the game’s scheduled to kick off at 5:30 p.m. ET.

Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles Betting Preview

Eastern Michigan enters this matchup as the underdog and is currently receiving 1 point. Georgia Southern is receiving -115 moneyline odds while Eastern Michigan is -105. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 48 points, and if one squad catches a lucky break early on, it would probably produce a decent live betting scenario.

The over/under hasn’t changed after it was initially posted at 48. Having said that, the opening line was 0 and has recently moved down to -1.

Both of these teams have been profitable this season as Georgia Southern has gained 6.3 units while Eastern Michigan is up 5.0 units.

Georgia Southern has gone 9-3 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Eagles are 7-5 SU.

Georgia Southern is coming off a resounding 35-14 victory over Georgia State on November 24. The passing game was on point as Shai Werts completed eight passes on 11 attempts for just 105 yards and two touchdowns. Wesley Fields (151 rushing yards on 16 attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Werts (75 yards on 13 carries, one TD) led the ground attack in the win. Kennedy III (four receptions, six yards) and Fields (two catches, three yards) handled the receiving duties.

The Eastern Michigan Eagles just earned a 28-20 win over Kent State. The defensive unit allowed the Golden Flashes to rush for 179 yards on 45 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Jo-el Shaw was a force to be reckoned with, putting up 159 rushing yards and a score on 31 attempts for Kent State. For Eastern Michigan, Tyler Wiegers completed 13-of-26 passes for 139 yards and one interception. Ian Eriksen (118 yards on 17 rush attempts, three TDs) and Breck Turner (51 yards on eight carries) handled the ground game in the win while Dylan Drummond (three receptions, 10 yards) and Mathew Sexton (two catches, 64 yards) led the pass-catching corps.

Georgia Southern’s run the ball on 84.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Eastern Michigan has a rush percentage of 56.4 percent. The Eagles has produced 261 rush yards per game and has 33 touchdowns via handoffs this year. Eastern Michigan is totaling 149 rush yards per game and has 23 total rushing TDs.

It seems like Georgia Southern ought to hold an advantage when it comes to effectiveness in the ground game, as its backfield has produced 5.4 yards per carry while the defense is allowing a YPC of 3.9 to opponents. Eastern Michigan has rushed for 3.8 yards per carry and given up 4.4 YPC to opponents.

The Georgia Southern offensive scheme has averaged 83 yards through the air overall and has 10 passing TDs so far. Eastern Michigan has produced 229 pass yards per contest and has 18 total pass scores.

Defensively, Georgia Southern has let opponents rush for an average of 144 yards and pass for 218 yards per game. The Eastern Michigan defense has allowed 160.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 192.9 yards per game to opposing runners. Eastern Michigan is allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 3.94 to opponents, while Georgia Southern has given up a 5.24 ANY/A.

Passing-wise, Werts is up to 921 yards this year, and has completed 59 percent of his 103 attempts with 10 scores through the air and has yet to throw an interception. Werts has a sparkling 8.47 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 10.47 over the last two games.

Tyler Wiegers has connected on 156-of-242 passes for 1,758 yards, 11 TDs and three INTs for Eastern Michigan. His ANY/A stands at 6.29 for the season and 3.96 over his past two outings.

Free NCAA Betting Tip: Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles

SU Winner – Georgia Southern, ATS Winner – Georgia Southern, O/U – Under

Click Here to Start Betting Today!

Notes

Team Betting Notes

Georgia Southern has produced 6.1 yards per carry over its last three contests and 7.2 over its last two.

Eastern Michigan has averaged 4.5 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.1 over its past two.

Eastern Michigan has lost 10 fumbles this season while Georgia Southern has lost five.

Eastern Michigan has won six of its last seven games SU, with a -15-point defeat to Army West Point on October 27th accounting for its one loss over that span.

The Georgia Southern offense has registered eight pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Eastern Michigan has put up 12 such plays.

The Georgia Southern defense has allowed nine pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Eastern Michigan has given up eight such plays.

The Georgia Southern offense has created 28 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Eastern Michigan has created 16 such runs.

The Georgia Southern defense has allowed 10 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Eastern Michigan has given up 14 such runs.

The Eastern Michigan defense has created 26 sacks on the year while Georgia Southern has 25.

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Written by GMS Previews

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