The Golden State Warriors (15-9) look to put an end to their six-game road losing streak in a matchup against the Atlanta Hawks (5-18) at State Farm Arena. The game can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday, December 3, 2018.
Golden State is a 10.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 232 points.
Golden State Warriors vs. Atlanta Hawks Free Prediction
The Warriors are hoping to rebound after failing to cover as 4-point favorites in their 111-102 loss to the Detroit Pistons in their last outing. The combined points for the game (213) finished well under the O/U total of 229. Detroit out-rebounded Golden State. The Pistons had more offensive rebounds (14 vs. eight) and total rebounds (47 vs. 44). Kevin Durant was the top scorer from either team with 28 points on 9-for-19 shooting.
In the Hawks’ last matchup, they were beaten by the Oklahoma City Thunder, 124-109. They failed to cover as 13-point underdogs. The combined points for the game (233) finished over the projected point total of 228.5. One of Oklahoma City’s biggest advantages was their ability to convert at the free throw line. They were 14-15 (93.3 percent), while the Hawks were just 12-20 (60.0 percent). Atlanta’s John Collins put up 19 points and 11 rebounds in the game.
It will be a matchup of opposite tempos as the up-and-down Hawks will look to push the more half-court-oriented Warriors. The Hawks rank first in possessions per game while the Warriors are 19th. Additionally, the Warriors rank third in offensive efficiency (113.4), while the Hawks rank 22nd in defensive efficiency (109.3).
Golden State has a solid 15-9 straight up (SU) record, but they are just 10-14 against the spread (ATS). Games including the Warriors have gone over the total 54.2 percent of the time.
Meanwhile, Atlanta owns records of 5-18 SU and 9-14 ATS. Games including the Hawks have a tendency to finish over the O/U total (56.5 percent).
Both teams have had a player take their game to the next level over their last five games. Durant (41 points,10.6 rebounds,6.4 assists,2.0 blocks) has been stellar for the Warriors while Collins (14 points,7.6 rebounds) has made solid contributions to the Hawks.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. Durant scored a game-high 29 points in the first matchup, in which the Warriors beat the Hawks 110-103 but could not cover as 11.5-point favorites. He also put up 6 rebounds. The game finished with a total of 213 points, which was 16 points below the projected point total of 229 points. The Warriors made 20 of their 21 free throws (95.2 percent) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (28.9 vs. 22.2).
Warriors vs. Hawks Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Hawks, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Golden State ranks fifth in rebounds allowed per game (42.5) while Atlanta ranks 27th (48.0).
Atlanta ranks 4 in steals per game (9.043478260869565) while Golden State ranks 20 (7.166666666666667).
The Hawks rank 8 in points off turnovers per game (18.130434782608695) while the Warriors rank 21 in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.958333333333332).
Atlanta is 3-7 ATS at home, while Golden State is 3-8 ATS on the road.
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five outings, Golden State is 2-3 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Atlanta is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Warriors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 4.6, up from 4.4 for the season.
During their last five games, the Hawks have scored an average of 107.6 points per game (0.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 116.4 points per game (1.7 below their season average).
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