The Green Bay Packers (-1.5) and Detroit Lions will face off on the dome at Ford Field. FOX has the TV rights and kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET.
Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions Betting Preview
Detroit enters this NFC matchup as the underdog and is currently getting 1.5 points. The Packers are also receiving -125 moneyline odds while the Lions are +105. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 50 points. It appears that there will probably be multiple good in-game betting scenarios for this matchup.
The game’s over/under was initially set at 51, but the under is receiving the majority of the early sharp action.
The Packers are 2-2 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 0.7 units so far. The team’s posted an O/U record of 3-1. The Lions are down 2.5 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 3-1 ATS and also have an O/U record of 3-1.
The Packers have gone 2-1-1 straight up (SU), including 1-0 SU against NFC North opponents. The Lions are 1-3 SU overall and 0-0 SU against divisional foes.
The Packers are looking to keep things going following a solid 22-0 win over Buffalo last week. Aaron Rodgers completed just 22 passes on 40 attempts for 298 yards, along with one score and a pick. Aaron Jones (65 rushing yards on 11 attempts, one TD) and Jamaal Williams (27 yards on 11 carries) led the ground attack in the win while Davante Adams (eight receptions, 81 yards) and Geronimo Allison (six catches, 80 yards) handled the receiving duties.
In Week 4, Dallas knocked off this Detroit crew by a score of 26-24. The Lions defense allowed the Cowboys to eat up the clock by running for 183 yards on 35 rush attempts. Ezekiel Elliott was on a different level for Dallas, recording 152 rushing yards on 25 attempts, along with 88 yards on four catches. For Detroit, Matthew Stafford completed 24-of-30 passes for 307 yards and two touchdowns. Kerryon Johnson (55 rushing yards on nine attempts, one TD) handled the ground game in the defeat while Golden Tate (eight receptions, 132 yards, two TDs) and Kenny Golladay (four catches, 74 yards) led the receiving corps.
Green Bay has run the ball on 35.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Detroit has a rush percentage of 33.5 percent. The Packers have run for 102 yards per game (including 84 per game versus North opponents) and have one score via handoffs this year. The Lions are putting up 98 rushing yards per game (0 in conference) and have only one rush TD.
It appears that the Lions could have an edge when it comes to quarterback protection, since their offensive line has yielded only six sacks while the D-line has registered 13 sacks. The Packers offensive line has allowed 14 sacks and their defense has recorded only 13 sacks.
The Packers offense has tallied 296 yards per game through the air overall (311 per game against conference opposition) and has seven passing TD so far. The Lions have produced 304 pass yards per contest (0.0 against NFC competition) and have eight total pass score.
Defensively, Green Bay has allowed 108 rush yards and 242 pass yards per game. The Detroit defense has allowed 198.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 157.8 yards per game to opposing runners. The Packers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.46 to opponents, while the Lions have given up a 6.52 ANY/A.
Offensively, Rodgers is up to 865 passing yards on the year, and has completed 64 percent of his 112 attempts with five scores through the air and only one interception. He has a 7.14 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 5.97 over the last two outings.
Geronimo Allison (213 receiving yards, one receiving touchdown this season), Ty Montgomery (56 rush yards, 86 receiving yards) and Davante Adams (233 receiving yards, two TDs) have each played key roles lately.
Matthew Stafford has completed 85-of-129 passes for 940 yards, six TDs and four INTs for Detroit. His ANY/A sits at 6.28 for the season and 8.23 across his last two games.
Golden Tate, Kerryon Johnson and Kenny Golladay have combined for 494 total yards and four touchdowns as a trio over the last two games.
RELATED: Week 5 NFL Betting Odds and Predictions
Betting Prediction: Packers at Lions
SU Winner – Lions, ATS Winner – Lions, O/U – Under
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Notes
Team Betting Trends
Green Bay was favored by 9 points in its last game and the O/U going into it was 44. The under cashed and Green Bay covered in the 22-0 victory over Buffalo.
Green Bay has produced 4.64383561643836 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.9 over its last two.
Detroit has averaged 5.0 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.8 over its past two.
The Detroit offense has lost one fumble this season while Green Bay has let three get away.
In its last three matches, Green Bay is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
Detroit was favored by 3 points in its last game and the O/U was set at 44. The over cashed and Detroit failed to cover in the 26-24 defeat to Dallas.
In its last three matches, Detroit is 3-0 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
The Packers offense has produced four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Lions have accounted for two such plays.
The Green Bay defense has allowed three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Detroit has given up one such play.
The Green Bay offense has created one rushing play of 20 or more yards, while Detroit has created two such runs.
The Packers defense has allowed one rushing play of 20 or more yards, while the Lions have given up five such runs.
Each team defense has created 13 sacks this season.
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