The Green Bay Packers and New England Patriots are set to do battle on the turf at Gillette Stadium. This vital Sunday Night Football game gets going at 8:20 p.m. ET and you can watch the action on NBC.
Green Bay Packers +6 +190 ov 57½
New England Patriots -6 -230 un 57½
Odds Provided by BetDSI.eu
Green Bay Packers vs. New England Patriots Betting Preview
Green Bay is a live dog here and is currently getting 6 points. The Packers are also receiving +190 moneyline odds while the Patriots are -230. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 57.5 points, and if one team can find paydirt early, it would likely create a solid live betting opportunity.
The Packers are down 0.3 units so far and 3-4 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an Over-Under mark of 5-2. The Patriots have gained 0.9 units this season. The team is 4-3 ATS and owns an O/U record of 4-3.
The Packers are 3-3-1 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Patriots are 6-2 SU.
The Packers fell to the Rams 29-27 in a Week 8 game where Aaron Rodgers completed 18 passes for 286 yards and one touchdown. Aaron Jones (86 yards on 12 rush attempts, one TD) provided the ground attack while Davante Adams (five receptions, 133 yards) and Randall Cobb (four catches, 40 yards) manned the receiving duties in the defeat.
New England just got a 25-6 win over Buffalo a week ago. Tom Brady completed 29-of-45 passes for 324 yards. Cordarrelle Patterson (38 yards on 10 rush attempts) mounted the running game while White (10 receptions, 79 yards) and Julian Edelman (nine catches, 104 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.
Green Bay’s run the ball on 34.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while New England has an overall rush percentage of 43.5 percent. The Packers have produced 104 rush yards per game and have four touchdowns on the ground this year. The Pats are putting up 115 rushing yards per game and have eight total rush TDs.
It appears that the Pats ought to hold an advantage along both the offensive and defensive fronts, since their offensive line has given up just 11 sacks while the D-line has registered 12 sacks. The Packers O-line has allowed 24 sacks and their defense has created only 23 sacks.
The Packers offensive scheme has logged 334 yards/contest through the air overall and has 13 passing TDs so far. The Pats have produced 275 pass yards per outing and have 16 total pass scores.
Defensively, Green Bay seems to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has let opponents rush for an average of 119 yards and throw for 243 yards per game. The New England defense has allowed 289.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 105.5 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Packers have given up an ANY/A of 6.50 to opposing QBs, while the Pats are allowing an ANY/A of 6.10.
Passing-wise, Rodgers is up to 1,858 yards this season. The signal-caller has connected on 149-of-238 attempts with 11 passing scores and only one interception. He has a 7.37 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 8.76 over the last two outings.
Davante Adams (558 receiving yards, four receiving touchdowns this season), Marquez Valdes-Scantling (154 receiving yards, two receiving TDs) and Aaron Jones (233 rush yards, two rush TDs) have all played key roles lately.
On the other sideline, Tom Brady has managed to complete 174-of-259 passes for 1,923 yards, 13 TDs and six INTs. Brady’s ANY/A stands at 6.88 for the year and 7.13 across his last two games.
James White, Julian Edelman and Josh Gordon have combined for 486 total yards and four touchdowns the last couple of games.
NFL Prediction: Packers at Patriots
SU Winner – Packers, ATS Winner – Packers, O/U – Under
Team Betting Notes
The Packers offense has tallied 10 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Patriots have put up four such plays.
Both defenses have allowed five pass plays of 40 yards or more. The Green Bay defense has given up 13 pass plays of 30+ yards while New England has given up six such plays.
The Green Bay offense has created three rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while New England has created four such runs.
The Packers defense has allowed four rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Patriots have given up five such runs.
The Green Bay defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 23 times this year. New England has produced just 12 sacks.
Green Bay has rushed for 5.3 yards per attempt over its past three outings and 5.5 over its last two.
New England has averaged 4.0 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 3.5 over its past two.
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