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Green Bay Packers vs. Washington Redskins – Free Week 3 Betting Preview

Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

The Green Bay Packers (-3) and Washington Redskins are ready to go at it on the grass at FedEx Field. This early afternoon matchup is scheduled to get underway at 1:00 p.m. ET and FOX will broadcast the action.

Green Bay Packers at Washington Redskins Betting Preview

In this Sunday NFC matchup, Green Bay is projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 3 points. The Packers are also receiving -150 moneyline odds while the Redskins are +130. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 47.5 points, and if one squad can create a bunch of points early on, it’ll likely generate a reasonable live betting scenario.

The Packers are 1-1 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 1.0 unit so far. The team’s recorded an O/U mark of 2-0. The Redskins have lost 1.2 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 1-1 ATS and have an O/U record of 0-2.

The Packers are 1-0-1 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Redskins are 1-1 SU.

The Packers are looking to remain undefeated following a 29-29 tie with Minnesota in Week 2 in which Aaron Rodgers completed 30-of-42 passes for 281 yards and one touchdown. Jamaal Williams (59 yards on 16 rushes) led the ground attack while Davante Adams (eight receptions, 64 yards, one TD) and Jimmy Graham (six catches, 95 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

In Week 2, Indianapolis knocked off this Washington crew by a score of 21-9. Alex Smith completed 33-of-46 passes for 292 yards. Adrian Peterson (20 yards on 11 rush attempts) mounted the running game while Thompson (13 receptions, 92 yards) and Jordan Reed (six catches, 55 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

Green Bay’s run the ball on 34.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Washington has an overall rush percentage of 45.7 percent. The Packers have produced 84 rush yards/game and have yet to record a touchdown on the ground this year. The Redskins are totaling 124 rush yards per game and have only one rushing TD.

The Packers offensive scheme has tallied 311 yards per game in the air overall and has four passing TD so far. The Redskins have put up 274 pass yards per outing and have two total pass score.

On the defensive side of the ball, Green Bay has allowed 104 rush yards and 298 pass yards per game. The Washington defense has given up 166.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 86.0 yards per game on the ground. The Redskins are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 3.34 to opposing QBs, while the Packers have given up a 6.76 ANY/A.

Offensively, Rodgers has amassed 281 passing yards this season, and has connected on 71 percent of his 42 attempts with one passing scores and has yet to throw an interception. He has a 5.93 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 7.69 over the last two outings.

We expect Rodgers to distribute the football early and often in this one. Randall Cobb (64 receiving yards), Davante Adams (64 yards, one TD) and Geronimo Allison (64 yards) have all been heavily involved recently, recording 16, 20 and 14 targets over the past two games, respectively.

In the home locker room, Alex Smith has managed to complete 33-of-46 passes for 292 yards, zero TDs and zero INTs. Smith’s ANY/A sits at 5.49 for the year and 6.78 across his past two games.

We’re looking for Redskins to maintain tempo by pounding the defense with their running backs. Jordan Reed (55 receiving yards) has stepped up lately, but Chris Thompson (one rush yards, 92 receiving yards) and Adrian Peterson (20 rush yards, 30 receiving yards) have delivered significant production to the Washington offense.

Betting Prediction: Green Bay Packers at Washington Redskins

SU Winner – Redskins, ATS Winner – Redskins, O/U – Under

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Notes

Team Betting Trends

The Packers offense has produced two pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Redskins have accounted for zero such plays.

Both defenses have allowed zero pass plays of 40 or more yards. The Green Bay defense has given up two pass plays of 30+ yards while Washington has yielded zero such plays.

Both defenses have produced zero rushing plays of 20 or more yards. The Green Bay offense has recorded two running plays of 10+ yards while Washington has accounted for seven such plays.

Both defenses have allowed zero rushing plays of 20 or more yards. The Packers have given up four running plays of 10+ yards while the Redskins have given up two such plays.

The Green Bay D has twice as many sacks as Washington this year (six to three).

Green Bay was getting 2 points in its previous game and the Over/Under was set at 45. The over cashed and Green Bay covered in the 29-29 tie with Minnesota.

Washington was favored by 6 points in its last match and the O/U was set at 48. The under cashed and Washington failed to cover in that 21-9 defeat to Indianapolis.

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Written by GMS Previews

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